Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 30°C high temperature at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport on April 18, driven by real-time hourly observations peaking at 30°C mid-afternoon, corroborated by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) reports and ensemble forecast consensus from GFS and ECMWF models projecting 28–30°C maxima. Humid southwest winds and scattered cloud cover limited convective heating, aligning with climatological April norms of ~26°C highs elevated by persistent warm air advection over the Pearl River Delta. Scenarios challenging this include improbable late-day sunbreaks triggering a brief spike to 31°C+ or post hoc data quality adjustments, but with sunset approaching, official Bao'an station records lock in resolution barring anomalies. New CMA summaries expected within 24 hours will finalize positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 18?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 18?
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$175,731 ปริมาณ
$175,731 ปริมาณ
Apr 18, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$175,731 ปริมาณ
$175,731 ปริมาณ
Apr 18, 2026
23°C or below
$857 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$2,577 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$2,770 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$2,266 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$10,252 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$9,164 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$37,367 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$88,146 ปริมาณ
Yes
31°C
$9,529 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$8,176 ปริมาณ
No
33°C or higher
$4,629 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 30°C high temperature at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport on April 18, driven by real-time hourly observations peaking at 30°C mid-afternoon, corroborated by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) reports and ensemble forecast consensus from GFS and ECMWF models projecting 28–30°C maxima. Humid southwest winds and scattered cloud cover limited convective heating, aligning with climatological April norms of ~26°C highs elevated by persistent warm air advection over the Pearl River Delta. Scenarios challenging this include improbable late-day sunbreaks triggering a brief spike to 31°C+ or post hoc data quality adjustments, but with sunset approaching, official Bao'an station records lock in resolution barring anomalies. New CMA summaries expected within 24 hours will finalize positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 16, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$175,731วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 16, 2026, 12:27 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 30°C high temperature at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport on April 18, driven by real-time hourly observations peaking at 30°C mid-afternoon, corroborated by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) reports and ensemble forecast consensus from GFS and ECMWF models projecting 28–30°C maxima. Humid southwest winds and scattered cloud cover limited convective heating, aligning with climatological April norms of ~26°C highs elevated by persistent warm air advection over the Pearl River Delta. Scenarios challenging this include improbable late-day sunbreaks triggering a brief spike to 31°C+ or post hoc data quality adjustments, but with sunset approaching, official Bao'an station records lock in resolution barring anomalies. New CMA summaries expected within 24 hours will finalize positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$175,731วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 16, 2026, 12:27 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 30°C high temperature at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport on April 18, driven by real-time hourly observations peaking at 30°C mid-afternoon, corroborated by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) reports and ensemble forecast consensus from GFS and ECMWF models projecting 28–30°C maxima. Humid southwest winds and scattered cloud cover limited convective heating, aligning with climatological April norms of ~26°C highs elevated by persistent warm air advection over the Pearl River Delta. Scenarios challenging this include improbable late-day sunbreaks triggering a brief spike to 31°C+ or post hoc data quality adjustments, but with sunset approaching, official Bao'an station records lock in resolution barring anomalies. New CMA summaries expected within 24 hours will finalize positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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