Traders have converged on 31°C as the near-certain outcome for Shenzhen’s highest temperature on June 14 because official station observations and short-range model consensus, including guidance aligned with historical June climatology, show a daily maximum reaching exactly that threshold under typical early-summer monsoon conditions. High humidity, scattered convection, and moderate southerly flow have limited stronger heating, while overnight lows near 25–26°C and cloud cover prevented any upward deviation. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects verified measurements rather than forecasts. Only an unexpected clear-sky ridge, revised station data, or instrument anomaly could realistically shift resolution, though such changes remain improbable given consistent regional reports.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Shenzhen on June 14?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 14?
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$103,169 ปริมาณ
$103,169 ปริมาณ
Jun 14, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$103,169 ปริมาณ
$103,169 ปริมาณ
Jun 14, 2026
24°C or below
$440 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$1,414 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$8,546 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$16,573 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$12,659 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$14,224 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$16,271 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$11,685 ปริมาณ
Yes
32°C
$7,984 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$6,559 ปริมาณ
No
34°C or higher
$6,816 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 31°C as the near-certain outcome for Shenzhen’s highest temperature on June 14 because official station observations and short-range model consensus, including guidance aligned with historical June climatology, show a daily maximum reaching exactly that threshold under typical early-summer monsoon conditions. High humidity, scattered convection, and moderate southerly flow have limited stronger heating, while overnight lows near 25–26°C and cloud cover prevented any upward deviation. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects verified measurements rather than forecasts. Only an unexpected clear-sky ridge, revised station data, or instrument anomaly could realistically shift resolution, though such changes remain improbable given consistent regional reports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$103,169วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 31°C as the near-certain outcome for Shenzhen’s highest temperature on June 14 because official station observations and short-range model consensus, including guidance aligned with historical June climatology, show a daily maximum reaching exactly that threshold under typical early-summer monsoon conditions. High humidity, scattered convection, and moderate southerly flow have limited stronger heating, while overnight lows near 25–26°C and cloud cover prevented any upward deviation. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects verified measurements rather than forecasts. Only an unexpected clear-sky ridge, revised station data, or instrument anomaly could realistically shift resolution, though such changes remain improbable given consistent regional reports.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$103,169วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Traders have converged on 31°C as the near-certain outcome for Shenzhen’s highest temperature on June 14 because official station observations and short-range model consensus, including guidance aligned with historical June climatology, show a daily maximum reaching exactly that threshold under typical early-summer monsoon conditions. High humidity, scattered convection, and moderate southerly flow have limited stronger heating, while overnight lows near 25–26°C and cloud cover prevented any upward deviation. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects verified measurements rather than forecasts. Only an unexpected clear-sky ridge, revised station data, or instrument anomaly could realistically shift resolution, though such changes remain improbable given consistent regional reports.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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