Official Central Weather Administration observations at Taipei Songshan Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 30 reached 21°C between 9:00 and 17:00 amid persistent cloud cover, occasional showers, and high relative humidity near 90%, suppressing solar heating despite typical April highs around 25°C. Numerical weather prediction models accurately forecasted this 20–21°C range, reflecting a cooler trough pattern over northern Taiwan that limited convective clearing. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on 21°C aligns with this skin-in-the-game assessment of verified data, as evening cooling to 19°C eliminates upside risk. A late-day improbable sunbreak could theoretically spike to 22°C before midnight closeout, but current conditions preclude it. Final daily max posts tomorrow.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Taipei on April 30?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 30?
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$96,210 ปริมาณ
$96,210 ปริมาณ
Apr 30, 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$96,210 ปริมาณ
$96,210 ปริมาณ
Apr 30, 2026
14°C or below
$2,167 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$1,375 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$1,256 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$4,233 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$4,200 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$17,347 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$19,906 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$13,618 ปริมาณ
Yes
22°C
$10,845 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$8,672 ปริมาณ
No
24°C or higher
$12,589 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Central Weather Administration observations at Taipei Songshan Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 30 reached 21°C between 9:00 and 17:00 amid persistent cloud cover, occasional showers, and high relative humidity near 90%, suppressing solar heating despite typical April highs around 25°C. Numerical weather prediction models accurately forecasted this 20–21°C range, reflecting a cooler trough pattern over northern Taiwan that limited convective clearing. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on 21°C aligns with this skin-in-the-game assessment of verified data, as evening cooling to 19°C eliminates upside risk. A late-day improbable sunbreak could theoretically spike to 22°C before midnight closeout, but current conditions preclude it. Final daily max posts tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 28, 2026, 1:15 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$96,210วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 28, 2026, 1:15 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Central Weather Administration observations at Taipei Songshan Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 30 reached 21°C between 9:00 and 17:00 amid persistent cloud cover, occasional showers, and high relative humidity near 90%, suppressing solar heating despite typical April highs around 25°C. Numerical weather prediction models accurately forecasted this 20–21°C range, reflecting a cooler trough pattern over northern Taiwan that limited convective clearing. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on 21°C aligns with this skin-in-the-game assessment of verified data, as evening cooling to 19°C eliminates upside risk. A late-day improbable sunbreak could theoretically spike to 22°C before midnight closeout, but current conditions preclude it. Final daily max posts tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$96,210วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 28, 2026, 1:15 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official Central Weather Administration observations at Taipei Songshan Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm the highest temperature on April 30 reached 21°C between 9:00 and 17:00 amid persistent cloud cover, occasional showers, and high relative humidity near 90%, suppressing solar heating despite typical April highs around 25°C. Numerical weather prediction models accurately forecasted this 20–21°C range, reflecting a cooler trough pattern over northern Taiwan that limited convective clearing. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability on 21°C aligns with this skin-in-the-game assessment of verified data, as evening cooling to 19°C eliminates upside risk. A late-day improbable sunbreak could theoretically spike to 22°C before midnight closeout, but current conditions preclude it. Final daily max posts tomorrow.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย