Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and supporting model guidance indicate that Taipei reached a daily maximum of 34°C on June 16 amid typical early-summer conditions, including high humidity, limited cloud cover during peak heating hours, and light southerly flow. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, when average highs hover near 32–33°C and occasional days exceed 34°C under stable, subsiding air. Real-time station data and hourly observations have reinforced trader consensus around this threshold, producing the near-certain market-implied probability. Only an unusually strong afternoon shower or rapid frontal passage capable of suppressing insolation could realistically keep the maximum at or below 33°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Taipei on June 16?
Highest temperature in Taipei on June 16?
34°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$157,678 ปริมาณ
$157,678 ปริมาณ
Jun 16, 2026
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$157,678 ปริมาณ
$157,678 ปริมาณ
Jun 16, 2026
25°C or below
$3,048 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$15,018 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$14,593 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$7,065 ปริมาณ
No
29°C
$14,133 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$12,771 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$14,587 ปริมาณ
No
32°C
$14,344 ปริมาณ
No
33°C
$18,177 ปริมาณ
No
34°C
$26,651 ปริมาณ
Yes
35°C or higher
$17,292 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and supporting model guidance indicate that Taipei reached a daily maximum of 34°C on June 16 amid typical early-summer conditions, including high humidity, limited cloud cover during peak heating hours, and light southerly flow. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, when average highs hover near 32–33°C and occasional days exceed 34°C under stable, subsiding air. Real-time station data and hourly observations have reinforced trader consensus around this threshold, producing the near-certain market-implied probability. Only an unusually strong afternoon shower or rapid frontal passage capable of suppressing insolation could realistically keep the maximum at or below 33°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$157,678วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and supporting model guidance indicate that Taipei reached a daily maximum of 34°C on June 16 amid typical early-summer conditions, including high humidity, limited cloud cover during peak heating hours, and light southerly flow. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, when average highs hover near 32–33°C and occasional days exceed 34°C under stable, subsiding air. Real-time station data and hourly observations have reinforced trader consensus around this threshold, producing the near-certain market-implied probability. Only an unusually strong afternoon shower or rapid frontal passage capable of suppressing insolation could realistically keep the maximum at or below 33°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$157,678วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Official forecasts from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration and supporting model guidance indicate that Taipei reached a daily maximum of 34°C on June 16 amid typical early-summer conditions, including high humidity, limited cloud cover during peak heating hours, and light southerly flow. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-June, when average highs hover near 32–33°C and occasional days exceed 34°C under stable, subsiding air. Real-time station data and hourly observations have reinforced trader consensus around this threshold, producing the near-certain market-implied probability. Only an unusually strong afternoon shower or rapid frontal passage capable of suppressing insolation could realistically keep the maximum at or below 33°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย