Trader consensus has converged on a 34°C daily maximum for Taipei on June 8 as the dominant outcome, reflecting the latest Central Weather Administration station data and model guidance pointing to afternoon peaks under subtropical high pressure with moderate northeast monsoon flow. Recent observations from Songshan and urban monitoring sites show temperatures climbing into the low-to-mid 30s, consistent with seasonal norms where June highs average near 31–33°C but can edge higher amid urban heat retention. A narrow margin remains for a one-degree overshoot to 35°C if afternoon sea breezes weaken or insolation extends, a scenario that would shift resolution criteria; otherwise, the current observational trajectory supports the market-implied outcome with limited upside risk from revised model runs or measurement adjustments.