Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) observational data from the Taipei Songshan Airport station—the market's official resolution source—confirms a daily maximum temperature of 28°C on May 11, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. Cloudy skies with occasional showers, as forecasted, suppressed daytime heating despite typical mid-May highs averaging 27–30°C, preventing further intensification. This aligns with current meteorological records showing no higher readings before the market's noon resolution cutoff. Realistic challenges include a rare CWA data revision uncovering a late-afternoon peak above 28°C, though diurnal temperature patterns and stable conditions make this improbable, solidifying the skin-in-the-game positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Taipei on May 11?
Highest temperature in Taipei on May 11?
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$61,846 ปริมาณ
$61,846 ปริมาณ
May 11, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$61,846 ปริมาณ
$61,846 ปริมาณ
May 11, 2026
22°C or below
$2,630 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$1,321 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$2,830 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$2,625 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$4,826 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$6,473 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$8,337 ปริมาณ
Yes
29°C
$6,373 ปริมาณ
No
30°C
$7,001 ปริมาณ
No
31°C
$7,247 ปริมาณ
No
32°C or higher
$12,183 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) observational data from the Taipei Songshan Airport station—the market's official resolution source—confirms a daily maximum temperature of 28°C on May 11, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. Cloudy skies with occasional showers, as forecasted, suppressed daytime heating despite typical mid-May highs averaging 27–30°C, preventing further intensification. This aligns with current meteorological records showing no higher readings before the market's noon resolution cutoff. Realistic challenges include a rare CWA data revision uncovering a late-afternoon peak above 28°C, though diurnal temperature patterns and stable conditions make this improbable, solidifying the skin-in-the-game positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 9, 2026, 2:14 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$61,846วันสิ้นสุด
May 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 9, 2026, 2:14 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) observational data from the Taipei Songshan Airport station—the market's official resolution source—confirms a daily maximum temperature of 28°C on May 11, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. Cloudy skies with occasional showers, as forecasted, suppressed daytime heating despite typical mid-May highs averaging 27–30°C, preventing further intensification. This aligns with current meteorological records showing no higher readings before the market's noon resolution cutoff. Realistic challenges include a rare CWA data revision uncovering a late-afternoon peak above 28°C, though diurnal temperature patterns and stable conditions make this improbable, solidifying the skin-in-the-game positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$61,846วันสิ้นสุด
May 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 9, 2026, 2:14 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) observational data from the Taipei Songshan Airport station—the market's official resolution source—confirms a daily maximum temperature of 28°C on May 11, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. Cloudy skies with occasional showers, as forecasted, suppressed daytime heating despite typical mid-May highs averaging 27–30°C, preventing further intensification. This aligns with current meteorological records showing no higher readings before the market's noon resolution cutoff. Realistic challenges include a rare CWA data revision uncovering a late-afternoon peak above 28°C, though diurnal temperature patterns and stable conditions make this improbable, solidifying the skin-in-the-game positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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