Latest forecast guidance from Environment Canada and supporting models indicates a daytime high near 25–26°C for Toronto on August 16, 2026, under partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions with a modest chance of afternoon showers. This narrow range between the top two market outcomes reflects modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, Lake Ontario’s moderating influence on onshore flow, and the precise timing of any convective development that could suppress peak readings. Recent days have featured near-normal August temperatures around 24°C, with no strong warm or cool advection evident in the synoptic pattern. Traders appear to weigh these factors against historical mid-August climatology, where highs average near 25°C, producing closely matched implied probabilities while awaiting updated model runs and official observations for resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Toronto on August 16?
Highest temperature in Toronto on August 16?
26°C 37%
25°C 34%
24°C 13%
27°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 16, 2026
22°C or below
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
13%
25°C
34%
26°C
37%
27°C
13%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 37%
25°C 34%
24°C 13%
27°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 16, 2026
22°C or below
$88 ปริมาณ
2%
23°C
$365 ปริมาณ
4%
24°C
$550 ปริมาณ
13%
25°C
$178 ปริมาณ
34%
26°C
$155 ปริมาณ
37%
27°C
$673 ปริมาณ
13%
28°C
$303 ปริมาณ
2%
29°C
$374 ปริมาณ
2%
30°C
$138 ปริมาณ
1%
31°C
$191 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C or higher
$1,170 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast guidance from Environment Canada and supporting models indicates a daytime high near 25–26°C for Toronto on August 16, 2026, under partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions with a modest chance of afternoon showers. This narrow range between the top two market outcomes reflects modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, Lake Ontario’s moderating influence on onshore flow, and the precise timing of any convective development that could suppress peak readings. Recent days have featured near-normal August temperatures around 24°C, with no strong warm or cool advection evident in the synoptic pattern. Traders appear to weigh these factors against historical mid-August climatology, where highs average near 25°C, producing closely matched implied probabilities while awaiting updated model runs and official observations for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,186วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest forecast guidance from Environment Canada and supporting models indicates a daytime high near 25–26°C for Toronto on August 16, 2026, under partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions with a modest chance of afternoon showers. This narrow range between the top two market outcomes reflects modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, Lake Ontario’s moderating influence on onshore flow, and the precise timing of any convective development that could suppress peak readings. Recent days have featured near-normal August temperatures around 24°C, with no strong warm or cool advection evident in the synoptic pattern. Traders appear to weigh these factors against historical mid-August climatology, where highs average near 25°C, producing closely matched implied probabilities while awaiting updated model runs and official observations for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,186วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecast guidance from Environment Canada and supporting models indicates a daytime high near 25–26°C for Toronto on August 16, 2026, under partly cloudy to mostly sunny conditions with a modest chance of afternoon showers. This narrow range between the top two market outcomes reflects modest uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing, Lake Ontario’s moderating influence on onshore flow, and the precise timing of any convective development that could suppress peak readings. Recent days have featured near-normal August temperatures around 24°C, with no strong warm or cool advection evident in the synoptic pattern. Traders appear to weigh these factors against historical mid-August climatology, where highs average near 25°C, producing closely matched implied probabilities while awaiting updated model runs and official observations for resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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