Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 11°C as the highest temperature in Warsaw on April 26 at nearly 100% implied probability, reflecting tight alignment across official IMGW forecasts, ECMWF high-resolution runs, and GFS model ensembles showing a daytime maximum of 11–12°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport station under partly cloudy skies and gusty northerly winds advecting cool continental air. Current early-morning observations from IMGW synoptic stations already register around 11°C with wind chill, supporting limited diurnal warming amid below-average April conditions (historical highs average 13°C). Realistic challenges include prolonged sunshine boosting solar heating to 12°C or increased cloud cover suppressing it below 11°C; final resolution awaits official 24-hour max from the airport station, with intraday updates from automated sensors potentially shifting sentiment before close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Warsaw on April 26?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 26?
11°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$68,525 ปริมาณ
$68,525 ปริมาณ
Apr 26, 2026
4°C or below
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
Yes
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C or higher
No
11°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$68,525 ปริมาณ
$68,525 ปริมาณ
Apr 26, 2026
4°C or below
$736 ปริมาณ
No
5°C
$2,141 ปริมาณ
No
6°C
$1,181 ปริมาณ
No
7°C
$1,318 ปริมาณ
No
8°C
$7,138 ปริมาณ
No
9°C
$10,991 ปริมาณ
No
10°C
$10,495 ปริมาณ
No
11°C
$13,202 ปริมาณ
Yes
12°C
$10,376 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$6,035 ปริมาณ
No
14°C or higher
$4,912 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 11°C as the highest temperature in Warsaw on April 26 at nearly 100% implied probability, reflecting tight alignment across official IMGW forecasts, ECMWF high-resolution runs, and GFS model ensembles showing a daytime maximum of 11–12°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport station under partly cloudy skies and gusty northerly winds advecting cool continental air. Current early-morning observations from IMGW synoptic stations already register around 11°C with wind chill, supporting limited diurnal warming amid below-average April conditions (historical highs average 13°C). Realistic challenges include prolonged sunshine boosting solar heating to 12°C or increased cloud cover suppressing it below 11°C; final resolution awaits official 24-hour max from the airport station, with intraday updates from automated sensors potentially shifting sentiment before close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$68,525วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 11°C as the highest temperature in Warsaw on April 26 at nearly 100% implied probability, reflecting tight alignment across official IMGW forecasts, ECMWF high-resolution runs, and GFS model ensembles showing a daytime maximum of 11–12°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport station under partly cloudy skies and gusty northerly winds advecting cool continental air. Current early-morning observations from IMGW synoptic stations already register around 11°C with wind chill, supporting limited diurnal warming amid below-average April conditions (historical highs average 13°C). Realistic challenges include prolonged sunshine boosting solar heating to 12°C or increased cloud cover suppressing it below 11°C; final resolution awaits official 24-hour max from the airport station, with intraday updates from automated sensors potentially shifting sentiment before close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$68,525วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 24, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 11°C as the highest temperature in Warsaw on April 26 at nearly 100% implied probability, reflecting tight alignment across official IMGW forecasts, ECMWF high-resolution runs, and GFS model ensembles showing a daytime maximum of 11–12°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport station under partly cloudy skies and gusty northerly winds advecting cool continental air. Current early-morning observations from IMGW synoptic stations already register around 11°C with wind chill, supporting limited diurnal warming amid below-average April conditions (historical highs average 13°C). Realistic challenges include prolonged sunshine boosting solar heating to 12°C or increased cloud cover suppressing it below 11°C; final resolution awaits official 24-hour max from the airport station, with intraday updates from automated sensors potentially shifting sentiment before close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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