Current short-range ensemble forecasts from major models indicate Warsaw highs clustering near 22–23°C on July 12, with trader consensus reflected in the tight spread among 21°C, 22°C, and 23°C-or-higher outcomes. Differentiating factors include timing of any Atlantic frontal passage, duration of cloud cover that limits surface insolation, and precipitation-driven evaporative cooling, all of which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Overcast or showery conditions in the latest guidance suppress peak heating relative to clearer scenarios, while modest warm advection and boundary-layer mixing support values near the seasonal average of 24°C. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could reprice these closely matched contracts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Warsaw on July 12?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on July 12?
19°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$56,068 ปริมาณ
$56,068 ปริมาณ
Jul 12, 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$56,068 ปริมาณ
$56,068 ปริมาณ
Jul 12, 2026
13°C or below
$286 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$4,407 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$2,873 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$1,453 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$6,560 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$8,186 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$7,537 ปริมาณ
Yes
20°C
$8,727 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$6,806 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$4,445 ปริมาณ
No
23°C or higher
$4,791 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range ensemble forecasts from major models indicate Warsaw highs clustering near 22–23°C on July 12, with trader consensus reflected in the tight spread among 21°C, 22°C, and 23°C-or-higher outcomes. Differentiating factors include timing of any Atlantic frontal passage, duration of cloud cover that limits surface insolation, and precipitation-driven evaporative cooling, all of which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Overcast or showery conditions in the latest guidance suppress peak heating relative to clearer scenarios, while modest warm advection and boundary-layer mixing support values near the seasonal average of 24°C. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could reprice these closely matched contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$56,068วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range ensemble forecasts from major models indicate Warsaw highs clustering near 22–23°C on July 12, with trader consensus reflected in the tight spread among 21°C, 22°C, and 23°C-or-higher outcomes. Differentiating factors include timing of any Atlantic frontal passage, duration of cloud cover that limits surface insolation, and precipitation-driven evaporative cooling, all of which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Overcast or showery conditions in the latest guidance suppress peak heating relative to clearer scenarios, while modest warm advection and boundary-layer mixing support values near the seasonal average of 24°C. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could reprice these closely matched contracts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$56,068วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 12, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Current short-range ensemble forecasts from major models indicate Warsaw highs clustering near 22–23°C on July 12, with trader consensus reflected in the tight spread among 21°C, 22°C, and 23°C-or-higher outcomes. Differentiating factors include timing of any Atlantic frontal passage, duration of cloud cover that limits surface insolation, and precipitation-driven evaporative cooling, all of which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Overcast or showery conditions in the latest guidance suppress peak heating relative to clearer scenarios, while modest warm advection and boundary-layer mixing support values near the seasonal average of 24°C. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could reprice these closely matched contracts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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