**Trader consensus has coalesced around an 18°C high in Warsaw today because real-time observations from the Chopin Airport station, the market’s official resolution source, show afternoon temperatures peaking at that level under mostly sunny conditions with moderate westerly winds.** National weather services and forecast models aligned on a daily maximum near 18°C (64–65°F), consistent with seasonal June averages of 21–22°C but tempered by a cooler air mass and light cloud cover that prevented further warming. With the peak already recorded in late afternoon and evening readings falling, the probability of exceeding 18°C or falling short has diminished sharply. Only an unexpected late-day spike from unforecasted insolation or a station measurement revision could alter the outcome at this stage.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 16?
18°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$41,684 ปริมาณ
$41,684 ปริมาณ
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$41,684 ปริมาณ
$41,684 ปริมาณ
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
**Trader consensus has coalesced around an 18°C high in Warsaw today because real-time observations from the Chopin Airport station, the market’s official resolution source, show afternoon temperatures peaking at that level under mostly sunny conditions with moderate westerly winds.** National weather services and forecast models aligned on a daily maximum near 18°C (64–65°F), consistent with seasonal June averages of 21–22°C but tempered by a cooler air mass and light cloud cover that prevented further warming. With the peak already recorded in late afternoon and evening readings falling, the probability of exceeding 18°C or falling short has diminished sharply. Only an unexpected late-day spike from unforecasted insolation or a station measurement revision could alter the outcome at this stage.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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