Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 19°C as the highest temperature at Wellington International Airport on April 29, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by hourly METAR observations from NOAA and MetService automatic weather stations showing a midday peak of 18.9°C (66°F) around 3pm local time amid northwesterly winds of 30-50 km/h gusting warmer maritime air and partial cloud breaks. MetService's latest update confirms cloud increasing late afternoon, with current readings at 15°C and falling as sunset approaches at 5:30pm NZST, rendering higher outcomes improbable. Realistic challenges would require anomalous clearing, wind subsidence, and solar heating in the final hours—scenarios unsupported by model consensus or current trends.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wellington on April 29?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 29?
19°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$118,075 ปริมาณ
$118,075 ปริมาณ
Apr 29, 2026
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
Yes
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
19°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$118,075 ปริมาณ
$118,075 ปริมาณ
Apr 29, 2026
11°C or below
$6,269 ปริมาณ
No
12°C
$1,452 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$6,261 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$2,295 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$2,421 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$16,021 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$6,832 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$23,951 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$24,886 ปริมาณ
Yes
20°C
$18,023 ปริมาณ
No
21°C or higher
$9,665 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 19°C as the highest temperature at Wellington International Airport on April 29, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by hourly METAR observations from NOAA and MetService automatic weather stations showing a midday peak of 18.9°C (66°F) around 3pm local time amid northwesterly winds of 30-50 km/h gusting warmer maritime air and partial cloud breaks. MetService's latest update confirms cloud increasing late afternoon, with current readings at 15°C and falling as sunset approaches at 5:30pm NZST, rendering higher outcomes improbable. Realistic challenges would require anomalous clearing, wind subsidence, and solar heating in the final hours—scenarios unsupported by model consensus or current trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 27, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$118,075วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 27, 2026, 12:11 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 19°C as the highest temperature at Wellington International Airport on April 29, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by hourly METAR observations from NOAA and MetService automatic weather stations showing a midday peak of 18.9°C (66°F) around 3pm local time amid northwesterly winds of 30-50 km/h gusting warmer maritime air and partial cloud breaks. MetService's latest update confirms cloud increasing late afternoon, with current readings at 15°C and falling as sunset approaches at 5:30pm NZST, rendering higher outcomes improbable. Realistic challenges would require anomalous clearing, wind subsidence, and solar heating in the final hours—scenarios unsupported by model consensus or current trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$118,075วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 27, 2026, 12:11 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 19°C as the highest temperature at Wellington International Airport on April 29, 2026, with 100% implied probability, driven by hourly METAR observations from NOAA and MetService automatic weather stations showing a midday peak of 18.9°C (66°F) around 3pm local time amid northwesterly winds of 30-50 km/h gusting warmer maritime air and partial cloud breaks. MetService's latest update confirms cloud increasing late afternoon, with current readings at 15°C and falling as sunset approaches at 5:30pm NZST, rendering higher outcomes improbable. Realistic challenges would require anomalous clearing, wind subsidence, and solar heating in the final hours—scenarios unsupported by model consensus or current trends.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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