Recent forecasts for Wellington indicate a likely daily maximum near 13°C on July 3, consistent with the market’s leading 43.5% implied probability, as long-term July averages hover around 12–13°C and NIWA’s May–July outlook assigns roughly equal chances to near-average or below-average temperatures across the region. Short-range model guidance shows minimal warming or cooling signals, keeping 12°C and 14°C as plausible secondary outcomes while colder or warmer extremes remain low-probability given typical winter synoptic patterns and limited variability this time of year. Updated official guidance from MetService or the next model runs could refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wellington on July 3?
Highest temperature in Wellington on July 3?
13°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$103,022 ปริมาณ
$103,022 ปริมาณ
Jul 3, 2026
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$103,022 ปริมาณ
$103,022 ปริมาณ
Jul 3, 2026
7°C or below
$1,522 ปริมาณ
No
8°C
$3,601 ปริมาณ
No
9°C
$3,694 ปริมาณ
No
10°C
$4,057 ปริมาณ
No
11°C
$7,979 ปริมาณ
No
12°C
$10,071 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$27,489 ปริมาณ
Yes
14°C
$16,634 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$19,094 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$4,966 ปริมาณ
No
17°C or higher
$3,915 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wellington indicate a likely daily maximum near 13°C on July 3, consistent with the market’s leading 43.5% implied probability, as long-term July averages hover around 12–13°C and NIWA’s May–July outlook assigns roughly equal chances to near-average or below-average temperatures across the region. Short-range model guidance shows minimal warming or cooling signals, keeping 12°C and 14°C as plausible secondary outcomes while colder or warmer extremes remain low-probability given typical winter synoptic patterns and limited variability this time of year. Updated official guidance from MetService or the next model runs could refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$103,022วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wellington indicate a likely daily maximum near 13°C on July 3, consistent with the market’s leading 43.5% implied probability, as long-term July averages hover around 12–13°C and NIWA’s May–July outlook assigns roughly equal chances to near-average or below-average temperatures across the region. Short-range model guidance shows minimal warming or cooling signals, keeping 12°C and 14°C as plausible secondary outcomes while colder or warmer extremes remain low-probability given typical winter synoptic patterns and limited variability this time of year. Updated official guidance from MetService or the next model runs could refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$103,022วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 1, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent forecasts for Wellington indicate a likely daily maximum near 13°C on July 3, consistent with the market’s leading 43.5% implied probability, as long-term July averages hover around 12–13°C and NIWA’s May–July outlook assigns roughly equal chances to near-average or below-average temperatures across the region. Short-range model guidance shows minimal warming or cooling signals, keeping 12°C and 14°C as plausible secondary outcomes while colder or warmer extremes remain low-probability given typical winter synoptic patterns and limited variability this time of year. Updated official guidance from MetService or the next model runs could refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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