Current MetService forecasts and supporting numerical weather models project a 14°C daily maximum for Wellington on June 11, consistent with the market’s 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with typical June climatology for the region, where average highs range from 13–14°C under stable high-pressure influence and light southerly flow, with no significant warm-air advection or frontal systems indicated in recent model runs. Official resolution relies on observations from the Kelburn automatic weather station. While strong model agreement supports the consensus, minor upward revisions remain possible if local conditions deviate from guidance, though historical verification shows such shifts are infrequent for this time of year.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wellington on June 11?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 11?
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$61,546 ปริมาณ
$61,546 ปริมาณ
Jun 11, 2026
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$61,546 ปริมาณ
$61,546 ปริมาณ
Jun 11, 2026
8°C or below
$317 ปริมาณ
No
9°C
$311 ปริมาณ
No
10°C
$1,743 ปริมาณ
No
11°C
$2,590 ปริมาณ
No
12°C
$6,243 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$16,223 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$11,857 ปริมาณ
Yes
15°C
$8,210 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$9,389 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$4,048 ปริมาณ
No
18°C or higher
$615 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current MetService forecasts and supporting numerical weather models project a 14°C daily maximum for Wellington on June 11, consistent with the market’s 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with typical June climatology for the region, where average highs range from 13–14°C under stable high-pressure influence and light southerly flow, with no significant warm-air advection or frontal systems indicated in recent model runs. Official resolution relies on observations from the Kelburn automatic weather station. While strong model agreement supports the consensus, minor upward revisions remain possible if local conditions deviate from guidance, though historical verification shows such shifts are infrequent for this time of year.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$61,546วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current MetService forecasts and supporting numerical weather models project a 14°C daily maximum for Wellington on June 11, consistent with the market’s 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with typical June climatology for the region, where average highs range from 13–14°C under stable high-pressure influence and light southerly flow, with no significant warm-air advection or frontal systems indicated in recent model runs. Official resolution relies on observations from the Kelburn automatic weather station. While strong model agreement supports the consensus, minor upward revisions remain possible if local conditions deviate from guidance, though historical verification shows such shifts are infrequent for this time of year.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$61,546วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Current MetService forecasts and supporting numerical weather models project a 14°C daily maximum for Wellington on June 11, consistent with the market’s 100% implied probability for that outcome. This aligns with typical June climatology for the region, where average highs range from 13–14°C under stable high-pressure influence and light southerly flow, with no significant warm-air advection or frontal systems indicated in recent model runs. Official resolution relies on observations from the Kelburn automatic weather station. While strong model agreement supports the consensus, minor upward revisions remain possible if local conditions deviate from guidance, though historical verification shows such shifts are infrequent for this time of year.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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