Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 17°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 21, 2026, backed by official METAR observations confirming a midday peak of exactly 17°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northerly winds. This marks a sharp cooldown from 28°C highs earlier in the week, driven by a passing frontal system that suppressed solar heating and introduced atmospheric instability, well below April climatological norms of around 22°C. With sunset approaching and overnight lows forecast near 11°C under continued showers per China Meteorological Administration guidance, realistic challenges like sudden clearing are improbable, as model ensembles show no significant warming potential remaining.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wuhan on April 21?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 21?
17°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$70,396 ปริมาณ
$70,396 ปริมาณ
Apr 21, 2026
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$70,396 ปริมาณ
$70,396 ปริมาณ
Apr 21, 2026
8°C or below
$572 ปริมาณ
No
9°C
$654 ปริมาณ
No
10°C
$1,271 ปริมาณ
No
11°C
$1,469 ปริมาณ
No
12°C
$2,453 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$2,975 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$4,400 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$10,557 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$6,623 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$19,205 ปริมาณ
Yes
18°C or higher
$20,215 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 17°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 21, 2026, backed by official METAR observations confirming a midday peak of exactly 17°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northerly winds. This marks a sharp cooldown from 28°C highs earlier in the week, driven by a passing frontal system that suppressed solar heating and introduced atmospheric instability, well below April climatological norms of around 22°C. With sunset approaching and overnight lows forecast near 11°C under continued showers per China Meteorological Administration guidance, realistic challenges like sudden clearing are improbable, as model ensembles show no significant warming potential remaining.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$70,396วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 17°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 21, 2026, backed by official METAR observations confirming a midday peak of exactly 17°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northerly winds. This marks a sharp cooldown from 28°C highs earlier in the week, driven by a passing frontal system that suppressed solar heating and introduced atmospheric instability, well below April climatological norms of around 22°C. With sunset approaching and overnight lows forecast near 11°C under continued showers per China Meteorological Administration guidance, realistic challenges like sudden clearing are improbable, as model ensembles show no significant warming potential remaining.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$70,396วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 17°C at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 21, 2026, backed by official METAR observations confirming a midday peak of exactly 17°C amid persistent cloud cover, light rain, and northerly winds. This marks a sharp cooldown from 28°C highs earlier in the week, driven by a passing frontal system that suppressed solar heating and introduced atmospheric instability, well below April climatological norms of around 22°C. With sunset approaching and overnight lows forecast near 11°C under continued showers per China Meteorological Administration guidance, realistic challenges like sudden clearing are improbable, as model ensembles show no significant warming potential remaining.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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