Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a near-certain 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on May 2, 2026, at 21°C, as measured at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station via Wunderground data. This positioning stems from observational records showing daytime peaks of 20–21°C under persistent overcast skies and intermittent light rain from a passing cool front, which suppressed solar insolation and introduced cool air advection per China Meteorological Administration reports and global models like GFS and ECMWF. These conditions diverged sharply from the early-May climatological average of 26°C, with negligible late-afternoon warming potential due to sustained cloud cover. Final data finalization on Wunderground could confirm resolution, though a sudden clearing allowing a brief 22°C spike remains a remote scenario given model ensembles and current trends.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 2?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 2?
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$177,251 ปริมาณ
$177,251 ปริมาณ
May 2, 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$177,251 ปริมาณ
$177,251 ปริมาณ
May 2, 2026
14°C or below
$11,016 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$3,833 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$5,275 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$15,105 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$25,251 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$25,595 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$17,430 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$36,038 ปริมาณ
Yes
22°C
$11,923 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$12,615 ปริมาณ
No
24°C or higher
$13,170 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a near-certain 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on May 2, 2026, at 21°C, as measured at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station via Wunderground data. This positioning stems from observational records showing daytime peaks of 20–21°C under persistent overcast skies and intermittent light rain from a passing cool front, which suppressed solar insolation and introduced cool air advection per China Meteorological Administration reports and global models like GFS and ECMWF. These conditions diverged sharply from the early-May climatological average of 26°C, with negligible late-afternoon warming potential due to sustained cloud cover. Final data finalization on Wunderground could confirm resolution, though a sudden clearing allowing a brief 22°C spike remains a remote scenario given model ensembles and current trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 30, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$177,251วันสิ้นสุด
May 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 12:21 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a near-certain 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on May 2, 2026, at 21°C, as measured at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station via Wunderground data. This positioning stems from observational records showing daytime peaks of 20–21°C under persistent overcast skies and intermittent light rain from a passing cool front, which suppressed solar insolation and introduced cool air advection per China Meteorological Administration reports and global models like GFS and ECMWF. These conditions diverged sharply from the early-May climatological average of 26°C, with negligible late-afternoon warming potential due to sustained cloud cover. Final data finalization on Wunderground could confirm resolution, though a sudden clearing allowing a brief 22°C spike remains a remote scenario given model ensembles and current trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$177,251วันสิ้นสุด
May 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 30, 2026, 12:21 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a near-certain 100% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on May 2, 2026, at 21°C, as measured at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport station via Wunderground data. This positioning stems from observational records showing daytime peaks of 20–21°C under persistent overcast skies and intermittent light rain from a passing cool front, which suppressed solar insolation and introduced cool air advection per China Meteorological Administration reports and global models like GFS and ECMWF. These conditions diverged sharply from the early-May climatological average of 26°C, with negligible late-afternoon warming potential due to sustained cloud cover. Final data finalization on Wunderground could confirm resolution, though a sudden clearing allowing a brief 22°C spike remains a remote scenario given model ensembles and current trends.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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