Incumbent U.S. Rep. Jim Baird commands 91% trader consensus in the IN-04 Republican primary due to his established record since 2019, a decisive 64% win in the 2024 primary, superior fundraising exceeding $140,000 recently, and high-profile endorsements from President Trump and Rep. Jim Jordan. State Rep. Craig Haggard, at 7.5%, has gained traction with backing from Indiana AG Todd Rokita and pitches himself as a fiercer America First fighter, as highlighted in April interviews, while businessman John Piper lags at 0.7%. With the May 5 primary nearing and no public polls showing challengers closing the gap, incumbency advantages prevail, though a late scandal, health issue for the 80-year-old Baird, or Haggard's grassroots surge could narrow odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วJim Baird 93%
Craig Haggard 8%
John Piper <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 5, 2026
Jim Baird
93%
Craig Haggard
8%
John Piper
1%
Jim Baird 93%
Craig Haggard 8%
John Piper <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 5, 2026
Jim Baird
$403 ปริมาณ
93%
Craig Haggard
$483 ปริมาณ
8%
John Piper
$653 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent U.S. Rep. Jim Baird commands 91% trader consensus in the IN-04 Republican primary due to his established record since 2019, a decisive 64% win in the 2024 primary, superior fundraising exceeding $140,000 recently, and high-profile endorsements from President Trump and Rep. Jim Jordan. State Rep. Craig Haggard, at 7.5%, has gained traction with backing from Indiana AG Todd Rokita and pitches himself as a fiercer America First fighter, as highlighted in April interviews, while businessman John Piper lags at 0.7%. With the May 5 primary nearing and no public polls showing challengers closing the gap, incumbency advantages prevail, though a late scandal, health issue for the 80-year-old Baird, or Haggard's grassroots surge could narrow odds.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 20, 2026, 2:51 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,538วันสิ้นสุด
May 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 20, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent U.S. Rep. Jim Baird commands 91% trader consensus in the IN-04 Republican primary due to his established record since 2019, a decisive 64% win in the 2024 primary, superior fundraising exceeding $140,000 recently, and high-profile endorsements from President Trump and Rep. Jim Jordan. State Rep. Craig Haggard, at 7.5%, has gained traction with backing from Indiana AG Todd Rokita and pitches himself as a fiercer America First fighter, as highlighted in April interviews, while businessman John Piper lags at 0.7%. With the May 5 primary nearing and no public polls showing challengers closing the gap, incumbency advantages prevail, though a late scandal, health issue for the 80-year-old Baird, or Haggard's grassroots surge could narrow odds.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the IN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,538วันสิ้นสุด
May 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 20, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent U.S. Rep. Jim Baird commands 91% trader consensus in the IN-04 Republican primary due to his established record since 2019, a decisive 64% win in the 2024 primary, superior fundraising exceeding $140,000 recently, and high-profile endorsements from President Trump and Rep. Jim Jordan. State Rep. Craig Haggard, at 7.5%, has gained traction with backing from Indiana AG Todd Rokita and pitches himself as a fiercer America First fighter, as highlighted in April interviews, while businessman John Piper lags at 0.7%. With the May 5 primary nearing and no public polls showing challengers closing the gap, incumbency advantages prevail, though a late scandal, health issue for the 80-year-old Baird, or Haggard's grassroots surge could narrow odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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