The Republican primary for Kentucky's 4th Congressional District on May 19, 2026, produced approximately 105,361 total votes, locking trader consensus on the 100-110k turnout band. This outcome reflects the intense contest between incumbent Thomas Massie and Trump-endorsed challenger Ed Gallrein, which featured record outside spending and national attention that mobilized far more Republican voters than the 52,593 cast in the 2024 primary. The race's visibility as a high-profile intraparty test drove participation across the district's 21 counties, pushing turnout near 25 percent of registered voters. Late adjustments from provisional or absentee ballots remain the only plausible variables that could shift the final certified total outside the current range, though historical patterns in Kentucky primaries make such changes minimal.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วKY-04 Republican Primary: Turnout
KY-04 Republican Primary: Turnout
100-110k 99.5%
90-100k 4.5%
<80k 1.9%
80-90k <1%
$48,111 ปริมาณ
$48,111 ปริมาณ
May 19, 2026
<80k
2%
80-90k
1%
90-100k
5%
100-110k
100%
110-120k
<1%
120k+
<1%
100-110k 99.5%
90-100k 4.5%
<80k 1.9%
80-90k <1%
$48,111 ปริมาณ
$48,111 ปริมาณ
May 19, 2026
<80k
$5,312 ปริมาณ
2%
80-90k
$4,066 ปริมาณ
1%
90-100k
$2,741 ปริมาณ
5%
100-110k
$13,472 ปริมาณ
100%
110-120k
$7,064 ปริมาณ
<1%
120k+
$15,456 ปริมาณ
<1%
The KY-04 Republican Primary is currently scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary election (the race’s total official contest votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official KY-04 Republican Primary results published by the Kentucky State Board of Elections and/or the Kentucky Secretary of State; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.The Republican primary for Kentucky's 4th Congressional District on May 19, 2026, produced approximately 105,361 total votes, locking trader consensus on the 100-110k turnout band. This outcome reflects the intense contest between incumbent Thomas Massie and Trump-endorsed challenger Ed Gallrein, which featured record outside spending and national attention that mobilized far more Republican voters than the 52,593 cast in the 2024 primary. The race's visibility as a high-profile intraparty test drove participation across the district's 21 counties, pushing turnout near 25 percent of registered voters. Late adjustments from provisional or absentee ballots remain the only plausible variables that could shift the final certified total outside the current range, though historical patterns in Kentucky primaries make such changes minimal.
The KY-04 Republican Primary is currently scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary election (the race’s total official contest votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official KY-04 Republican Primary results published by the Kentucky State Board of Elections and/or the Kentucky Secretary of State; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary election (the race’s total official contest votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official KY-04 Republican Primary results published by the Kentucky State Board of Elections and/or the Kentucky Secretary of State; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 18, 2026, 12:16 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$48,111วันสิ้นสุด
May 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 18, 2026, 12:16 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The KY-04 Republican Primary is currently scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary election (the race’s total official contest votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official KY-04 Republican Primary results published by the Kentucky State Board of Elections and/or the Kentucky Secretary of State; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.The Republican primary for Kentucky's 4th Congressional District on May 19, 2026, produced approximately 105,361 total votes, locking trader consensus on the 100-110k turnout band. This outcome reflects the intense contest between incumbent Thomas Massie and Trump-endorsed challenger Ed Gallrein, which featured record outside spending and national attention that mobilized far more Republican voters than the 52,593 cast in the 2024 primary. The race's visibility as a high-profile intraparty test drove participation across the district's 21 counties, pushing turnout near 25 percent of registered voters. Late adjustments from provisional or absentee ballots remain the only plausible variables that could shift the final certified total outside the current range, though historical patterns in Kentucky primaries make such changes minimal.
The KY-04 Republican Primary is currently scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary election (the race’s total official contest votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official KY-04 Republican Primary results published by the Kentucky State Board of Elections and/or the Kentucky Secretary of State; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary election (the race’s total official contest votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official KY-04 Republican Primary results published by the Kentucky State Board of Elections and/or the Kentucky Secretary of State; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$48,111วันสิ้นสุด
May 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 18, 2026, 12:16 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Republican primary for Kentucky's 4th Congressional District on May 19, 2026, produced approximately 105,361 total votes, locking trader consensus on the 100-110k turnout band. This outcome reflects the intense contest between incumbent Thomas Massie and Trump-endorsed challenger Ed Gallrein, which featured record outside spending and national attention that mobilized far more Republican voters than the 52,593 cast in the 2024 primary. The race's visibility as a high-profile intraparty test drove participation across the district's 21 counties, pushing turnout near 25 percent of registered voters. Late adjustments from provisional or absentee ballots remain the only plausible variables that could shift the final certified total outside the current range, though historical patterns in Kentucky primaries make such changes minimal.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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