Recent rejections of presidential pardon requests for former President Pedro Castillo by Peru’s Ministry of Justice, combined with the end of the current transitional administration under José María Balcázar, have reinforced trader expectations against clemency in 2026. Castillo’s November 2025 conviction on rebellion charges remains under appeal, limiting immediate eligibility, while incoming President-elect Keiko Fujimori’s administration is viewed as unlikely to grant relief given longstanding political opposition. Multiple official reviews in early and mid-2026 have upheld this stance without reversal, and no scheduled legislative or judicial actions appear positioned to alter the trajectory before year-end. The 86.5% implied probability on “No” reflects this sustained institutional and electoral context.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?
Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?
$41,954 ปริมาณ
$41,954 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
$41,954 ปริมาณ
$41,954 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Recent rejections of presidential pardon requests for former President Pedro Castillo by Peru’s Ministry of Justice, combined with the end of the current transitional administration under José María Balcázar, have reinforced trader expectations against clemency in 2026. Castillo’s November 2025 conviction on rebellion charges remains under appeal, limiting immediate eligibility, while incoming President-elect Keiko Fujimori’s administration is viewed as unlikely to grant relief given longstanding political opposition. Multiple official reviews in early and mid-2026 have upheld this stance without reversal, and no scheduled legislative or judicial actions appear positioned to alter the trajectory before year-end. The 86.5% implied probability on “No” reflects this sustained institutional and electoral context.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 9, 2026, 7:32 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$41,954วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 9, 2026, 7:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Recent rejections of presidential pardon requests for former President Pedro Castillo by Peru’s Ministry of Justice, combined with the end of the current transitional administration under José María Balcázar, have reinforced trader expectations against clemency in 2026. Castillo’s November 2025 conviction on rebellion charges remains under appeal, limiting immediate eligibility, while incoming President-elect Keiko Fujimori’s administration is viewed as unlikely to grant relief given longstanding political opposition. Multiple official reviews in early and mid-2026 have upheld this stance without reversal, and no scheduled legislative or judicial actions appear positioned to alter the trajectory before year-end. The 86.5% implied probability on “No” reflects this sustained institutional and electoral context.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$41,954วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 9, 2026, 7:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent rejections of presidential pardon requests for former President Pedro Castillo by Peru’s Ministry of Justice, combined with the end of the current transitional administration under José María Balcázar, have reinforced trader expectations against clemency in 2026. Castillo’s November 2025 conviction on rebellion charges remains under appeal, limiting immediate eligibility, while incoming President-elect Keiko Fujimori’s administration is viewed as unlikely to grant relief given longstanding political opposition. Multiple official reviews in early and mid-2026 have upheld this stance without reversal, and no scheduled legislative or judicial actions appear positioned to alter the trajectory before year-end. The 86.5% implied probability on “No” reflects this sustained institutional and electoral context.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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