Presidential clemency authority allows the executive to grant pardons or commutations for federal offenses at any point before the end of the term. Market positioning reflects trader assessments of likely recipients among political allies, January 6 defendants, or others facing federal charges, based on prior term patterns and public statements. Key variables include ongoing investigations, legislative priorities, and any announced policy focus on specific cases. Developments such as court rulings, plea deals, or direct administration signals on clemency could alter implied probabilities ahead of 2027. Resolution hinges on verified official actions rather than speculation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$377,448 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
Donald Brodie
40%
Daniel Penny
30%
Matt Gaetz
16%
Roger Stone
15%
Stefan Brodie
14%
Ryan Salame
13%
Keonne Rodriguez
13%
Steve Bannon
13%
Eric Adams
11%
Joe Exotic
10%
Martin Shkreli
10%
Antoine Massey
10%
Elizabeth Holmes
9%
Roger Ver
7%
Ghislaine Maxwell
7%
Julian Assange
7%
Bob Menendez
6%
Himself
6%
Sam Bankman-Fried
5%
Andrew Tate
5%
Derek Chauvin
5%
Nicolas Maduro
5%
Diddy
4%
Young Thug
3%
Elon Musk
3%
Edward Snowden
2%
Do Kwon
1%
Hunter Biden
1%
$377,448 ปริมาณ
Donald Brodie
$606 ปริมาณ
40%
Daniel Penny
$346 ปริมาณ
30%
Matt Gaetz
$1,578 ปริมาณ
16%
Roger Stone
$564 ปริมาณ
15%
Stefan Brodie
$933 ปริมาณ
14%
Ryan Salame
$22,798 ปริมาณ
13%
Keonne Rodriguez
$14,729 ปริมาณ
13%
Steve Bannon
$7,794 ปริมาณ
13%
Eric Adams
$641 ปริมาณ
11%
Joe Exotic
$1,086 ปริมาณ
10%
Martin Shkreli
$29,524 ปริมาณ
10%
Antoine Massey
$344 ปริมาณ
10%
Elizabeth Holmes
$2,012 ปริมาณ
9%
Roger Ver
$714 ปริมาณ
7%
Ghislaine Maxwell
$19,029 ปริมาณ
7%
Julian Assange
$1,846 ปริมาณ
7%
Bob Menendez
$195 ปริมาณ
6%
Himself
$10,382 ปริมาณ
6%
Sam Bankman-Fried
$125,499 ปริมาณ
5%
Andrew Tate
$70 ปริมาณ
5%
Derek Chauvin
$19,066 ปริมาณ
5%
Nicolas Maduro
$8,597 ปริมาณ
5%
Diddy
$22,490 ปริมาณ
4%
Young Thug
$4,281 ปริมาณ
3%
Elon Musk
$51,826 ปริมาณ
3%
Edward Snowden
$2,074 ปริมาณ
2%
Do Kwon
$22,940 ปริมาณ
1%
Hunter Biden
$5,483 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Presidential clemency authority allows the executive to grant pardons or commutations for federal offenses at any point before the end of the term. Market positioning reflects trader assessments of likely recipients among political allies, January 6 defendants, or others facing federal charges, based on prior term patterns and public statements. Key variables include ongoing investigations, legislative priorities, and any announced policy focus on specific cases. Developments such as court rulings, plea deals, or direct administration signals on clemency could alter implied probabilities ahead of 2027. Resolution hinges on verified official actions rather than speculation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$377,448วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Presidential clemency authority allows the executive to grant pardons or commutations for federal offenses at any point before the end of the term. Market positioning reflects trader assessments of likely recipients among political allies, January 6 defendants, or others facing federal charges, based on prior term patterns and public statements. Key variables include ongoing investigations, legislative priorities, and any announced policy focus on specific cases. Developments such as court rulings, plea deals, or direct administration signals on clemency could alter implied probabilities ahead of 2027. Resolution hinges on verified official actions rather than speculation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$377,448วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Presidential clemency authority allows the executive to grant pardons or commutations for federal offenses at any point before the end of the term. Market positioning reflects trader assessments of likely recipients among political allies, January 6 defendants, or others facing federal charges, based on prior term patterns and public statements. Key variables include ongoing investigations, legislative priorities, and any announced policy focus on specific cases. Developments such as court rulings, plea deals, or direct administration signals on clemency could alter implied probabilities ahead of 2027. Resolution hinges on verified official actions rather than speculation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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