Presidential clemency authority allows the executive to grant pardons or commutations for federal offenses at any point before the end of the term. Market positioning reflects trader assessments of likely recipients among political allies, January 6 defendants, or others facing federal charges, based on prior term patterns and public statements. Key variables include ongoing investigations, legislative priorities, and any announced policy focus on specific cases. Developments such as court rulings, plea deals, or direct administration signals on clemency could alter implied probabilities ahead of 2027. Resolution hinges on verified official actions rather than speculation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$372,201 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
Donald Brodie
45%
Daniel Penny
40%
Keonne Rodriguez
22%
Matt Gaetz
18%
Ryan Salame
15%
Stefan Brodie
15%
Steve Bannon
14%
Roger Stone
13%
Eric Adams
12%
Martin Shkreli
10%
Andrew Tate
9%
Antoine Massey
8%
Joe Exotic
8%
Roger Ver
7%
Elizabeth Holmes
7%
Julian Assange
6%
Bob Menendez
6%
Edward Snowden
6%
Himself
6%
Sam Bankman-Fried
5%
Derek Chauvin
5%
Ghislaine Maxwell
5%
Nicolas Maduro
5%
Diddy
4%
Elon Musk
3%
Young Thug
3%
Do Kwon
1%
Hunter Biden
1%
$372,201 ปริมาณ
Donald Brodie
$434 ปริมาณ
45%
Daniel Penny
$340 ปริมาณ
40%
Keonne Rodriguez
$14,644 ปริมาณ
22%
Matt Gaetz
$1,554 ปริมาณ
18%
Ryan Salame
$22,798 ปริมาณ
15%
Stefan Brodie
$859 ปริมาณ
15%
Steve Bannon
$7,793 ปริมาณ
14%
Roger Stone
$564 ปริมาณ
13%
Eric Adams
$639 ปริมาณ
12%
Martin Shkreli
$29,231 ปริมาณ
10%
Andrew Tate
$0 ปริมาณ
9%
Antoine Massey
$344 ปริมาณ
8%
Joe Exotic
$1,086 ปริมาณ
8%
Roger Ver
$713 ปริมาณ
7%
Elizabeth Holmes
$2,012 ปริมาณ
7%
Julian Assange
$1,846 ปริมาณ
6%
Bob Menendez
$195 ปริมาณ
6%
Edward Snowden
$2,074 ปริมาณ
6%
Himself
$9,080 ปริมาณ
6%
Sam Bankman-Fried
$125,418 ปริมาณ
5%
Derek Chauvin
$19,066 ปริมาณ
5%
Ghislaine Maxwell
$17,168 ปริมาณ
5%
Nicolas Maduro
$8,597 ปริมาณ
5%
Diddy
$21,320 ปริมาณ
4%
Elon Musk
$51,795 ปริมาณ
3%
Young Thug
$4,281 ปริมาณ
3%
Do Kwon
$22,889 ปริมาณ
1%
Hunter Biden
$5,463 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Presidential clemency authority allows the executive to grant pardons or commutations for federal offenses at any point before the end of the term. Market positioning reflects trader assessments of likely recipients among political allies, January 6 defendants, or others facing federal charges, based on prior term patterns and public statements. Key variables include ongoing investigations, legislative priorities, and any announced policy focus on specific cases. Developments such as court rulings, plea deals, or direct administration signals on clemency could alter implied probabilities ahead of 2027. Resolution hinges on verified official actions rather than speculation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$372,201วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 16, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between December 4, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between January 2, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Presidential clemency authority allows the executive to grant pardons or commutations for federal offenses at any point before the end of the term. Market positioning reflects trader assessments of likely recipients among political allies, January 6 defendants, or others facing federal charges, based on prior term patterns and public statements. Key variables include ongoing investigations, legislative priorities, and any announced policy focus on specific cases. Developments such as court rulings, plea deals, or direct administration signals on clemency could alter implied probabilities ahead of 2027. Resolution hinges on verified official actions rather than speculation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$372,201วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Presidential clemency authority allows the executive to grant pardons or commutations for federal offenses at any point before the end of the term. Market positioning reflects trader assessments of likely recipients among political allies, January 6 defendants, or others facing federal charges, based on prior term patterns and public statements. Key variables include ongoing investigations, legislative priorities, and any announced policy focus on specific cases. Developments such as court rulings, plea deals, or direct administration signals on clemency could alter implied probabilities ahead of 2027. Resolution hinges on verified official actions rather than speculation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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