**Strong bipartisan opposition in Congress, highlighted by the Senate’s unanimous July 29, 2026, resolution opposing any pardon or clemency for Ghislaine Maxwell, underpins traders’ 94% probability on “No.”** The non-binding measure, introduced by Sen. Jacky Rosen, explicitly urges the president not to grant clemency for Maxwell’s role in the Jeffrey Epstein sex-trafficking crimes involving minors; every Republican joined Democrats in support. President Trump has repeatedly declined to rule out a pardon while stating he has not actively considered one and would consult the Department of Justice, creating ongoing speculation but no concrete movement. Recent context includes Maxwell’s ongoing 20-year sentence, her lawyer’s earlier optimism about clemency prospects, and procedural scrutiny around Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche’s nomination. These factors—combined with the case’s political toxicity and risks to the administration’s standing—have kept implied odds heavily against a pardon by year-end despite Trump’s formal authority to issue one.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใช่
6% โอกาส
$745,302 ปริมาณ
$745,302 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
ใช่
6% โอกาส
$745,302 ปริมาณ
$745,302 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Strong bipartisan opposition in Congress, highlighted by the Senate’s unanimous July 29, 2026, resolution opposing any pardon or clemency for Ghislaine Maxwell, underpins traders’ 94% probability on “No.”** The non-binding measure, introduced by Sen. Jacky Rosen, explicitly urges the president not to grant clemency for Maxwell’s role in the Jeffrey Epstein sex-trafficking crimes involving minors; every Republican joined Democrats in support. President Trump has repeatedly declined to rule out a pardon while stating he has not actively considered one and would consult the Department of Justice, creating ongoing speculation but no concrete movement. Recent context includes Maxwell’s ongoing 20-year sentence, her lawyer’s earlier optimism about clemency prospects, and procedural scrutiny around Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche’s nomination. These factors—combined with the case’s political toxicity and risks to the administration’s standing—have kept implied odds heavily against a pardon by year-end despite Trump’s formal authority to issue one.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$745,302วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Strong bipartisan opposition in Congress, highlighted by the Senate’s unanimous July 29, 2026, resolution opposing any pardon or clemency for Ghislaine Maxwell, underpins traders’ 94% probability on “No.”** The non-binding measure, introduced by Sen. Jacky Rosen, explicitly urges the president not to grant clemency for Maxwell’s role in the Jeffrey Epstein sex-trafficking crimes involving minors; every Republican joined Democrats in support. President Trump has repeatedly declined to rule out a pardon while stating he has not actively considered one and would consult the Department of Justice, creating ongoing speculation but no concrete movement. Recent context includes Maxwell’s ongoing 20-year sentence, her lawyer’s earlier optimism about clemency prospects, and procedural scrutiny around Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche’s nomination. These factors—combined with the case’s political toxicity and risks to the administration’s standing—have kept implied odds heavily against a pardon by year-end despite Trump’s formal authority to issue one.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$745,302วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...**Strong bipartisan opposition in Congress, highlighted by the Senate’s unanimous July 29, 2026, resolution opposing any pardon or clemency for Ghislaine Maxwell, underpins traders’ 94% probability on “No.”** The non-binding measure, introduced by Sen. Jacky Rosen, explicitly urges the president not to grant clemency for Maxwell’s role in the Jeffrey Epstein sex-trafficking crimes involving minors; every Republican joined Democrats in support. President Trump has repeatedly declined to rule out a pardon while stating he has not actively considered one and would consult the Department of Justice, creating ongoing speculation but no concrete movement. Recent context includes Maxwell’s ongoing 20-year sentence, her lawyer’s earlier optimism about clemency prospects, and procedural scrutiny around Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche’s nomination. These factors—combined with the case’s political toxicity and risks to the administration’s standing—have kept implied odds heavily against a pardon by year-end despite Trump’s formal authority to issue one.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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