Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 69.5% implied probability for a SpaceX initial public offering in June, driven by the company's confidential SEC filing on April 1, 2026, followed by a virtual banker meeting on April 6 led by Elon Musk and CFO Bret Johnsen, and detailed roadshow plans targeting the week of June 8 at a potential $1.75 trillion valuation with a $50-75 billion raise. Accelerated employee share vesting as soon as the week of April 22 further bolsters near-term momentum, elevating June far above July (17%) while suppressing "No IPO before 2027" to 5.9%. Prospectus release expected late May remains a key catalyst amid favorable Starlink revenue trends and lead underwriters including Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วJune 70%
July 16.7%
No IPO before 2027 5.9%
August 4.5%
$252,648 ปริมาณ
$252,648 ปริมาณ
April
<1%
May
1%
June
70%
July
17%
August
5%
September
3%
October
1%
November
<1%
December
1%
No IPO before 2027
6%
June 70%
July 16.7%
No IPO before 2027 5.9%
August 4.5%
$252,648 ปริมาณ
$252,648 ปริมาณ
April
<1%
May
1%
June
70%
July
17%
August
5%
September
3%
October
1%
November
<1%
December
1%
No IPO before 2027
6%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 69.5% implied probability for a SpaceX initial public offering in June, driven by the company's confidential SEC filing on April 1, 2026, followed by a virtual banker meeting on April 6 led by Elon Musk and CFO Bret Johnsen, and detailed roadshow plans targeting the week of June 8 at a potential $1.75 trillion valuation with a $50-75 billion raise. Accelerated employee share vesting as soon as the week of April 22 further bolsters near-term momentum, elevating June far above July (17%) while suppressing "No IPO before 2027" to 5.9%. Prospectus release expected late May remains a key catalyst amid favorable Starlink revenue trends and lead underwriters including Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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