**Trader consensus heavily favors fewer than five posts by Khamenei during August 14–21, reflecting the current Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei's consistently low public visibility since his March 2026 appointment.** Following the February 2026 assassination of his father Ali Khamenei amid the Iran war, Mojtaba has avoided in-person appearances, relying instead on occasional written statements and undated videos released through state channels. Recent activity includes military appointments announced around August 10 and a brief undated video clip, but no surge in social media output on official accounts such as @khamenei_ir or @MKhamenei_ir. This pattern aligns with the regime's post-conflict reorganization and emphasis on controlled messaging, keeping weekly post counts low absent major diplomatic, military, or domestic triggers. Historical precedent for the officeholder's restrained online presence reinforces the market's assessment of subdued activity in the resolution window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วKhamenei # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026?
Khamenei # posts August 14 - August 21, 2026?
<5 70%
5-9 23%
10-14 7%
15-19 <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 21, 2026
<5
70%
5-9
23%
10-14
7%
15-19
1%
20-24
1%
25-29
1%
30-34
1%
35-39
1%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
1%
55-59
1%
60+
1%
<5 70%
5-9 23%
10-14 7%
15-19 <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 21, 2026
<5
$3,718 ปริมาณ
70%
5-9
$634 ปริมาณ
23%
10-14
$400 ปริมาณ
7%
15-19
$280 ปริมาณ
1%
20-24
$180 ปริมาณ
1%
25-29
$130 ปริมาณ
1%
30-34
$130 ปริมาณ
1%
35-39
$140 ปริมาณ
1%
40-44
$114 ปริมาณ
1%
45-49
$74 ปริมาณ
1%
50-54
$152 ปริมาณ
1%
55-59
$252 ปริมาณ
1%
60+
$152 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader consensus heavily favors fewer than five posts by Khamenei during August 14–21, reflecting the current Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei's consistently low public visibility since his March 2026 appointment.**
Following the February 2026 assassination of his father Ali Khamenei amid the Iran war, Mojtaba has avoided in-person appearances, relying instead on occasional written statements and undated videos released through state channels. Recent activity includes military appointments announced around August 10 and a brief undated video clip, but no surge in social media output on official accounts such as @khamenei_ir or @MKhamenei_ir. This pattern aligns with the regime's post-conflict reorganization and emphasis on controlled messaging, keeping weekly post counts low absent major diplomatic, military, or domestic triggers. Historical precedent for the officeholder's restrained online presence reinforces the market's assessment of subdued activity in the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,356วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader consensus heavily favors fewer than five posts by Khamenei during August 14–21, reflecting the current Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei's consistently low public visibility since his March 2026 appointment.**
Following the February 2026 assassination of his father Ali Khamenei amid the Iran war, Mojtaba has avoided in-person appearances, relying instead on occasional written statements and undated videos released through state channels. Recent activity includes military appointments announced around August 10 and a brief undated video clip, but no surge in social media output on official accounts such as @khamenei_ir or @MKhamenei_ir. This pattern aligns with the regime's post-conflict reorganization and emphasis on controlled messaging, keeping weekly post counts low absent major diplomatic, military, or domestic triggers. Historical precedent for the officeholder's restrained online presence reinforces the market's assessment of subdued activity in the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,356วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors fewer than five posts by Khamenei during August 14–21, reflecting the current Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei's consistently low public visibility since his March 2026 appointment.** Following the February 2026 assassination of his father Ali Khamenei amid the Iran war, Mojtaba has avoided in-person appearances, relying instead on occasional written statements and undated videos released through state channels. Recent activity includes military appointments announced around August 10 and a brief undated video clip, but no surge in social media output on official accounts such as @khamenei_ir or @MKhamenei_ir. This pattern aligns with the regime's post-conflict reorganization and emphasis on controlled messaging, keeping weekly post counts low absent major diplomatic, military, or domestic triggers. Historical precedent for the officeholder's restrained online presence reinforces the market's assessment of subdued activity in the resolution window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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