The account @khamenei_ir, which posts statements attributed to the late Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, has maintained low weekly output in recent months, typically limited to occasional archival quotes or event-themed content rather than frequent original updates. Following the leadership transition to Mojtaba Khamenei, activity has shown no marked increase, with posts often tied to recurring observances such as Arbaeen commemorations. This pattern, combined with the account's focus on selective historical messaging over daily commentary, underpins trader consensus favoring fewer than five posts during the August 7–14 window. No major diplomatic, military, or internal developments in the past week have prompted elevated volume, aligning with the observed distribution where higher brackets carry sharply lower implied probabilities.