Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s assassination in early 2026, confirmed by Iranian state media and U.S. statements following U.S.-Israeli strikes, has left his official channels largely inactive. The @khamenei_ir account and associated platforms now frame him as the “martyred leader,” with content limited to archival statements, occasional written messages, or institutional releases rather than regular personal posts. This structural shift drives the market’s strong preference for fewer than five posts in the August 4–11 window, while ranges above ten attract minimal trader interest. Historical patterns of low-volume output since March further reinforce expectations of minimal activity, absent any major scheduled announcements or successor transitions within the resolution period.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วKhamenei # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?
Khamenei # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?
<5 65%
5-9 42%
10-14 41%
15-19 41%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 11, 2026
<5
65%
5-9
42%
10-14
41%
15-19
41%
20-24
38%
25-29
-
30-34
-
35-39
-
40-44
42%
45-49
1%
50-54
1%
55-59
1%
60+
1%
<5 65%
5-9 42%
10-14 41%
15-19 41%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 11, 2026
<5
$0 ปริมาณ
65%
5-9
$0 ปริมาณ
42%
10-14
$0 ปริมาณ
41%
15-19
$0 ปริมาณ
41%
20-24
$10 ปริมาณ
38%
25-29
$10 ปริมาณ
-
30-34
$10 ปริมาณ
-
35-39
$10 ปริมาณ
-
40-44
$10 ปริมาณ
42%
45-49
$20 ปริมาณ
1%
50-54
$20 ปริมาณ
1%
55-59
$20 ปริมาณ
1%
60+
$20 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s assassination in early 2026, confirmed by Iranian state media and U.S. statements following U.S.-Israeli strikes, has left his official channels largely inactive. The @khamenei_ir account and associated platforms now frame him as the “martyred leader,” with content limited to archival statements, occasional written messages, or institutional releases rather than regular personal posts. This structural shift drives the market’s strong preference for fewer than five posts in the August 4–11 window, while ranges above ten attract minimal trader interest. Historical patterns of low-volume output since March further reinforce expectations of minimal activity, absent any major scheduled announcements or successor transitions within the resolution period.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$130วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s assassination in early 2026, confirmed by Iranian state media and U.S. statements following U.S.-Israeli strikes, has left his official channels largely inactive. The @khamenei_ir account and associated platforms now frame him as the “martyred leader,” with content limited to archival statements, occasional written messages, or institutional releases rather than regular personal posts. This structural shift drives the market’s strong preference for fewer than five posts in the August 4–11 window, while ranges above ten attract minimal trader interest. Historical patterns of low-volume output since March further reinforce expectations of minimal activity, absent any major scheduled announcements or successor transitions within the resolution period.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$130วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s assassination in early 2026, confirmed by Iranian state media and U.S. statements following U.S.-Israeli strikes, has left his official channels largely inactive. The @khamenei_ir account and associated platforms now frame him as the “martyred leader,” with content limited to archival statements, occasional written messages, or institutional releases rather than regular personal posts. This structural shift drives the market’s strong preference for fewer than five posts in the August 4–11 window, while ranges above ten attract minimal trader interest. Historical patterns of low-volume output since March further reinforce expectations of minimal activity, absent any major scheduled announcements or successor transitions within the resolution period.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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