Moonshot AI is actively sourcing additional Nvidia Blackwell chips to train Kimi K4, the planned successor to the 2.8-trillion-parameter Kimi K3 released in mid-July 2026. This effort follows K3’s strong benchmark showing on coding and agentic tasks, where it rivaled or exceeded several closed frontier models from OpenAI and Anthropic while offering open weights under a custom license. U.S. export-control scrutiny and recent allegations of model distillation have complicated hardware access, yet Moonshot’s rapid cadence—K2.6 in April, K3 in July—suggests continued momentum toward a larger MoE architecture. Traders are watching for official model-card details, API pricing, or developer-conference announcements that could clarify a 2026 release window versus a longer timeline shaped by compute constraints.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$17,814 ปริมาณ
Oct 31, 2026
October 31, 2026
4%
December 31, 2026
5%
$17,814 ปริมาณ
October 31, 2026
$9,489 ปริมาณ
4%
December 31, 2026
$8,325 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K4 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Kimi K4 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K4 (e.g., Kimi K4.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K3.0, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K3. The release of any model within the Kimi K4 family will qualify as “Kimi K4”.
Products labeled as Kimi K3.5 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Moonshot AI is actively sourcing additional Nvidia Blackwell chips to train Kimi K4, the planned successor to the 2.8-trillion-parameter Kimi K3 released in mid-July 2026. This effort follows K3’s strong benchmark showing on coding and agentic tasks, where it rivaled or exceeded several closed frontier models from OpenAI and Anthropic while offering open weights under a custom license. U.S. export-control scrutiny and recent allegations of model distillation have complicated hardware access, yet Moonshot’s rapid cadence—K2.6 in April, K3 in July—suggests continued momentum toward a larger MoE architecture. Traders are watching for official model-card details, API pricing, or developer-conference announcements that could clarify a 2026 release window versus a longer timeline shaped by compute constraints.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K4 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Kimi K4 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K4 (e.g., Kimi K4.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K3.0, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K3. The release of any model within the Kimi K4 family will qualify as “Kimi K4”.
Products labeled as Kimi K3.5 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Kimi K4 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K4 (e.g., Kimi K4.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K3.0, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K3. The release of any model within the Kimi K4 family will qualify as “Kimi K4”.
Products labeled as Kimi K3.5 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 24, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,814วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 24, 2026, 6:02 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K4 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Kimi K4 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K4 (e.g., Kimi K4.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K3.0, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K3. The release of any model within the Kimi K4 family will qualify as “Kimi K4”.
Products labeled as Kimi K3.5 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Moonshot AI is actively sourcing additional Nvidia Blackwell chips to train Kimi K4, the planned successor to the 2.8-trillion-parameter Kimi K3 released in mid-July 2026. This effort follows K3’s strong benchmark showing on coding and agentic tasks, where it rivaled or exceeded several closed frontier models from OpenAI and Anthropic while offering open weights under a custom license. U.S. export-control scrutiny and recent allegations of model distillation have complicated hardware access, yet Moonshot’s rapid cadence—K2.6 in April, K3 in July—suggests continued momentum toward a larger MoE architecture. Traders are watching for official model-card details, API pricing, or developer-conference announcements that could clarify a 2026 release window versus a longer timeline shaped by compute constraints.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K4 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Kimi K4 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K4 (e.g., Kimi K4.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K3.0, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K3. The release of any model within the Kimi K4 family will qualify as “Kimi K4”.
Products labeled as Kimi K3.5 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Kimi K4 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K4 (e.g., Kimi K4.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K3.0, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K3. The release of any model within the Kimi K4 family will qualify as “Kimi K4”.
Products labeled as Kimi K3.5 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,814วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 24, 2026, 6:02 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Moonshot AI is actively sourcing additional Nvidia Blackwell chips to train Kimi K4, the planned successor to the 2.8-trillion-parameter Kimi K3 released in mid-July 2026. This effort follows K3’s strong benchmark showing on coding and agentic tasks, where it rivaled or exceeded several closed frontier models from OpenAI and Anthropic while offering open weights under a custom license. U.S. export-control scrutiny and recent allegations of model distillation have complicated hardware access, yet Moonshot’s rapid cadence—K2.6 in April, K3 in July—suggests continued momentum toward a larger MoE architecture. Traders are watching for official model-card details, API pricing, or developer-conference announcements that could clarify a 2026 release window versus a longer timeline shaped by compute constraints.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย