Iranian Kurdish opposition parties, unified since February 2026 in the Coalition of Political Forces of Iranian Kurdistan, have publicly prioritized regime transition, democratic federal structures, and regional self-administration within Iran over any formal declaration of statehood. Recent nationwide protests, largely quelled by early 2026, saw these groups coordinate strikes and limited operations while consistently framing demands around autonomy and national rights inside a post-Islamic Republic framework rather than secession. Iranian authorities maintain firm opposition to separatist activity, reinforced by border security measures and historical precedent against territorial fragmentation. External reports of foreign support for anti-regime actions have not translated into independence advocacy from the groups themselves. This alignment of moderate stated objectives, regime resilience, and lack of momentum toward a unilateral declaration underpins trader consensus that such an outcome remains improbable, though sudden shifts in coalition positions amid broader instability could still alter trajectories.