President Lee Jae-myung's criminal immunity as South Korea's sitting head of state has suspended his multiple ongoing trials—including election law violations, alleged breach of trust in the Daejang-dong development scandal, and third-party bribery tied to illicit North Korea remittances—making pre-2027 arrest improbable and anchoring the 92.3% "No" trader consensus. Recent developments, such as the March 2026 approval of judicial reform bills expanding prosecutorial oversight and the mid-April suspension of a prosecutor probing Lee over 2019-2020 funds allegedly sent to Pyongyang, signal strengthened executive influence over investigations without advancing any custodial actions against him. No fresh indictments or court rulings have emerged in the past month to challenge this status quo, amid Lee's focus on reforms and pursuing critics for defamation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$56,051 ปริมาณ
$56,051 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
$56,051 ปริมาณ
$56,051 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Lee Jae-myung's criminal immunity as South Korea's sitting head of state has suspended his multiple ongoing trials—including election law violations, alleged breach of trust in the Daejang-dong development scandal, and third-party bribery tied to illicit North Korea remittances—making pre-2027 arrest improbable and anchoring the 92.3% "No" trader consensus. Recent developments, such as the March 2026 approval of judicial reform bills expanding prosecutorial oversight and the mid-April suspension of a prosecutor probing Lee over 2019-2020 funds allegedly sent to Pyongyang, signal strengthened executive influence over investigations without advancing any custodial actions against him. No fresh indictments or court rulings have emerged in the past month to challenge this status quo, amid Lee's focus on reforms and pursuing critics for defamation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$56,051วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Lee Jae-myung's criminal immunity as South Korea's sitting head of state has suspended his multiple ongoing trials—including election law violations, alleged breach of trust in the Daejang-dong development scandal, and third-party bribery tied to illicit North Korea remittances—making pre-2027 arrest improbable and anchoring the 92.3% "No" trader consensus. Recent developments, such as the March 2026 approval of judicial reform bills expanding prosecutorial oversight and the mid-April suspension of a prosecutor probing Lee over 2019-2020 funds allegedly sent to Pyongyang, signal strengthened executive influence over investigations without advancing any custodial actions against him. No fresh indictments or court rulings have emerged in the past month to challenge this status quo, amid Lee's focus on reforms and pursuing critics for defamation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$56,051วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Lee Jae-myung's criminal immunity as South Korea's sitting head of state has suspended his multiple ongoing trials—including election law violations, alleged breach of trust in the Daejang-dong development scandal, and third-party bribery tied to illicit North Korea remittances—making pre-2027 arrest improbable and anchoring the 92.3% "No" trader consensus. Recent developments, such as the March 2026 approval of judicial reform bills expanding prosecutorial oversight and the mid-April suspension of a prosecutor probing Lee over 2019-2020 funds allegedly sent to Pyongyang, signal strengthened executive influence over investigations without advancing any custodial actions against him. No fresh indictments or court rulings have emerged in the past month to challenge this status quo, amid Lee's focus on reforms and pursuing critics for defamation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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