Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance, indicate overnight lows in Chongqing around 27–29°C on August 28, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure maintaining elevated baseline temperatures alongside moisture and cloud cover from peripheral easterly flow associated with typhoon remnants. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling under humid, partly cloudy skies, keeping the minimum from dropping sharply. Trader consensus clusters tightly on 27–29°C because small differences in predicted precipitation timing and cloud thickness could shift the exact low by 1–2°C, while historical August averages near 26°C provide context for the current elevated outlook. Updated model runs and local observations on August 27 will likely refine probabilities ahead of market resolution.