Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami on June 19 projects overnight lows near 80–82°F, consistent with the market’s leading 82–83°F bin at 34% implied probability. Persistent south-southeast flow, elevated dew points above 75°F, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies are the main drivers keeping temperatures from dropping further. The closely contested 74–75°F outcome (31.5%) reflects model uncertainty around potential clearer-sky windows or brief easterly shifts that could enhance nocturnal cooling, though climatological June minima rarely fall below 77°F without a stronger frontal passage. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Miami on June 19?
Lowest temperature in Miami on June 19?
80-81°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$16,884 ปริมาณ
$16,884 ปริมาณ
Jun 19, 2026
65°F or below
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
Yes
82-83°F
No
84°F or higher
No
80-81°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
68-69°F <1%
$16,884 ปริมาณ
$16,884 ปริมาณ
Jun 19, 2026
65°F or below
$412 ปริมาณ
No
66-67°F
$952 ปริมาณ
No
68-69°F
$1,060 ปริมาณ
No
70-71°F
$996 ปริมาณ
No
72-73°F
$1,130 ปริมาณ
No
74-75°F
$699 ปริมาณ
No
76-77°F
$1,811 ปริมาณ
No
78-79°F
$1,827 ปริมาณ
No
80-81°F
$3,379 ปริมาณ
Yes
82-83°F
$3,483 ปริมาณ
No
84°F or higher
$1,136 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami on June 19 projects overnight lows near 80–82°F, consistent with the market’s leading 82–83°F bin at 34% implied probability. Persistent south-southeast flow, elevated dew points above 75°F, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies are the main drivers keeping temperatures from dropping further. The closely contested 74–75°F outcome (31.5%) reflects model uncertainty around potential clearer-sky windows or brief easterly shifts that could enhance nocturnal cooling, though climatological June minima rarely fall below 77°F without a stronger frontal passage. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 17, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,884วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 17, 2026, 9:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami on June 19 projects overnight lows near 80–82°F, consistent with the market’s leading 82–83°F bin at 34% implied probability. Persistent south-southeast flow, elevated dew points above 75°F, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies are the main drivers keeping temperatures from dropping further. The closely contested 74–75°F outcome (31.5%) reflects model uncertainty around potential clearer-sky windows or brief easterly shifts that could enhance nocturnal cooling, though climatological June minima rarely fall below 77°F without a stronger frontal passage. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,884วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 17, 2026, 9:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami on June 19 projects overnight lows near 80–82°F, consistent with the market’s leading 82–83°F bin at 34% implied probability. Persistent south-southeast flow, elevated dew points above 75°F, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies are the main drivers keeping temperatures from dropping further. The closely contested 74–75°F outcome (31.5%) reflects model uncertainty around potential clearer-sky windows or brief easterly shifts that could enhance nocturnal cooling, though climatological June minima rarely fall below 77°F without a stronger frontal passage. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย