National Weather Service observations at Central Park (KNYC), the official meteorological station for New York City, recorded a minimum temperature of 44°F at 5:42 AM EDT on April 23, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 44-45°F outcome on Polymarket. This measurement, taken via standardized thermometers at 1.5 meters above ground under calm conditions with partial cloud cover, aligns with springtime urban heat island effects and southerly airflow that prevented sharper nocturnal cooling. Model forecasts from NOAA had anticipated lows in this range, and no discrepancies across nearby stations emerged. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from preliminary to final records or confirmation of sensor malfunction, though such events are exceedingly uncommon post-verification.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in NYC on April 23?
Lowest temperature in NYC on April 23?
44-45°F 100.0%
39°F or below <1%
40-41°F <1%
42-43°F <1%
$73,489 ปริมาณ
$73,489 ปริมาณ
Apr 23, 2026
39°F or below
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
Yes
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58°F or higher
No
44-45°F 100.0%
39°F or below <1%
40-41°F <1%
42-43°F <1%
$73,489 ปริมาณ
$73,489 ปริมาณ
Apr 23, 2026
39°F or below
$2,883 ปริมาณ
No
40-41°F
$4,285 ปริมาณ
No
42-43°F
$6,245 ปริมาณ
No
44-45°F
$26,647 ปริมาณ
Yes
46-47°F
$9,522 ปริมาณ
No
48-49°F
$4,329 ปริมาณ
No
50-51°F
$3,589 ปริมาณ
No
52-53°F
$2,221 ปริมาณ
No
54-55°F
$827 ปริมาณ
No
56-57°F
$715 ปริมาณ
No
58°F or higher
$12,227 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Central Park (KNYC), the official meteorological station for New York City, recorded a minimum temperature of 44°F at 5:42 AM EDT on April 23, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 44-45°F outcome on Polymarket. This measurement, taken via standardized thermometers at 1.5 meters above ground under calm conditions with partial cloud cover, aligns with springtime urban heat island effects and southerly airflow that prevented sharper nocturnal cooling. Model forecasts from NOAA had anticipated lows in this range, and no discrepancies across nearby stations emerged. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from preliminary to final records or confirmation of sensor malfunction, though such events are exceedingly uncommon post-verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$73,489วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service observations at Central Park (KNYC), the official meteorological station for New York City, recorded a minimum temperature of 44°F at 5:42 AM EDT on April 23, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 44-45°F outcome on Polymarket. This measurement, taken via standardized thermometers at 1.5 meters above ground under calm conditions with partial cloud cover, aligns with springtime urban heat island effects and southerly airflow that prevented sharper nocturnal cooling. Model forecasts from NOAA had anticipated lows in this range, and no discrepancies across nearby stations emerged. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from preliminary to final records or confirmation of sensor malfunction, though such events are exceedingly uncommon post-verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$73,489วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
National Weather Service observations at Central Park (KNYC), the official meteorological station for New York City, recorded a minimum temperature of 44°F at 5:42 AM EDT on April 23, 2026, anchoring trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 44-45°F outcome on Polymarket. This measurement, taken via standardized thermometers at 1.5 meters above ground under calm conditions with partial cloud cover, aligns with springtime urban heat island effects and southerly airflow that prevented sharper nocturnal cooling. Model forecasts from NOAA had anticipated lows in this range, and no discrepancies across nearby stations emerged. Realistic challenges would require a rare data revision from preliminary to final records or confirmation of sensor malfunction, though such events are exceedingly uncommon post-verification.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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