Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a lowest temperature of 48-49°F at New York City's Central Park station (KNYC) on April 24, 2026, backed by official National Weather Service observations recording a minimum of 49°F around 6:51 AM amid cloudy skies and light easterly winds that suppressed nocturnal cooling. This aligns precisely with pre-event NOAA forecast model ensembles (GFS, NAM), which projected mild overnight lows in the upper 40s due to persistent cloud cover, urban heat island effects, and southerly flow patterns—conditions typical for late April climatology, where historical Central Park lows average 46-50°F. Revisions to verified NWS data are exceedingly rare, solidifying the positioning absent anomalous sensor issues.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in NYC on April 24?
Lowest temperature in NYC on April 24?
48-49°F 100.0%
41°F or below <1%
42-43°F <1%
44-45°F <1%
$49,008 ปริมาณ
$49,008 ปริมาณ
Apr 24, 2026
41°F or below
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
Yes
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60°F or higher
No
48-49°F 100.0%
41°F or below <1%
42-43°F <1%
44-45°F <1%
$49,008 ปริมาณ
$49,008 ปริมาณ
Apr 24, 2026
41°F or below
$3,059 ปริมาณ
No
42-43°F
$7,677 ปริมาณ
No
44-45°F
$5,400 ปริมาณ
No
46-47°F
$10,077 ปริมาณ
No
48-49°F
$7,315 ปริมาณ
Yes
50-51°F
$2,370 ปริมาณ
No
52-53°F
$2,167 ปริมาณ
No
54-55°F
$1,587 ปริมาณ
No
56-57°F
$3,063 ปริมาณ
No
58-59°F
$1,140 ปริมาณ
No
60°F or higher
$5,153 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a lowest temperature of 48-49°F at New York City's Central Park station (KNYC) on April 24, 2026, backed by official National Weather Service observations recording a minimum of 49°F around 6:51 AM amid cloudy skies and light easterly winds that suppressed nocturnal cooling. This aligns precisely with pre-event NOAA forecast model ensembles (GFS, NAM), which projected mild overnight lows in the upper 40s due to persistent cloud cover, urban heat island effects, and southerly flow patterns—conditions typical for late April climatology, where historical Central Park lows average 46-50°F. Revisions to verified NWS data are exceedingly rare, solidifying the positioning absent anomalous sensor issues.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 22, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$49,008วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 22, 2026, 12:01 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a lowest temperature of 48-49°F at New York City's Central Park station (KNYC) on April 24, 2026, backed by official National Weather Service observations recording a minimum of 49°F around 6:51 AM amid cloudy skies and light easterly winds that suppressed nocturnal cooling. This aligns precisely with pre-event NOAA forecast model ensembles (GFS, NAM), which projected mild overnight lows in the upper 40s due to persistent cloud cover, urban heat island effects, and southerly flow patterns—conditions typical for late April climatology, where historical Central Park lows average 46-50°F. Revisions to verified NWS data are exceedingly rare, solidifying the positioning absent anomalous sensor issues.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$49,008วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 22, 2026, 12:01 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a lowest temperature of 48-49°F at New York City's Central Park station (KNYC) on April 24, 2026, backed by official National Weather Service observations recording a minimum of 49°F around 6:51 AM amid cloudy skies and light easterly winds that suppressed nocturnal cooling. This aligns precisely with pre-event NOAA forecast model ensembles (GFS, NAM), which projected mild overnight lows in the upper 40s due to persistent cloud cover, urban heat island effects, and southerly flow patterns—conditions typical for late April climatology, where historical Central Park lows average 46-50°F. Revisions to verified NWS data are exceedingly rare, solidifying the positioning absent anomalous sensor issues.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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