The National Weather Service's official measurement at Central Park, New York City's primary recording station (KNYC), confirmed the lowest temperature on April 27, 2026, at 48°F, driving Polymarket traders to a unanimous 100% implied probability for the 48-49°F outcome. This aligns with pre-event NOAA forecast models showing southerly winds and partial cloud cover suppressing radiative cooling, yielding mild overnight lows above the late-April climatological average of 47°F. Trader consensus reflects verified observational data from automated sensors, with historical precedent for such stable spring conditions. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc data revisions from instrument calibration issues or quality control audits by NOAA, though these occur in under 1% of cases.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in NYC on April 27?
Lowest temperature in NYC on April 27?
48-49°F 100.0%
37°F or below <1%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$42,921 ปริมาณ
$42,921 ปริมาณ
Apr 27, 2026
37°F or below
No
38-39°F
No
40-41°F
No
42-43°F
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
Yes
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56°F or higher
No
48-49°F 100.0%
37°F or below <1%
38-39°F <1%
40-41°F <1%
$42,921 ปริมาณ
$42,921 ปริมาณ
Apr 27, 2026
37°F or below
$13,018 ปริมาณ
No
38-39°F
$1,575 ปริมาณ
No
40-41°F
$1,587 ปริมาณ
No
42-43°F
$1,884 ปริมาณ
No
44-45°F
$2,681 ปริมาณ
No
46-47°F
$2,295 ปริมาณ
No
48-49°F
$4,806 ปริมาณ
Yes
50-51°F
$1,359 ปริมาณ
No
52-53°F
$712 ปริมาณ
No
54-55°F
$1,088 ปริมาณ
No
56°F or higher
$11,916 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's official measurement at Central Park, New York City's primary recording station (KNYC), confirmed the lowest temperature on April 27, 2026, at 48°F, driving Polymarket traders to a unanimous 100% implied probability for the 48-49°F outcome. This aligns with pre-event NOAA forecast models showing southerly winds and partial cloud cover suppressing radiative cooling, yielding mild overnight lows above the late-April climatological average of 47°F. Trader consensus reflects verified observational data from automated sensors, with historical precedent for such stable spring conditions. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc data revisions from instrument calibration issues or quality control audits by NOAA, though these occur in under 1% of cases.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$42,921วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's official measurement at Central Park, New York City's primary recording station (KNYC), confirmed the lowest temperature on April 27, 2026, at 48°F, driving Polymarket traders to a unanimous 100% implied probability for the 48-49°F outcome. This aligns with pre-event NOAA forecast models showing southerly winds and partial cloud cover suppressing radiative cooling, yielding mild overnight lows above the late-April climatological average of 47°F. Trader consensus reflects verified observational data from automated sensors, with historical precedent for such stable spring conditions. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc data revisions from instrument calibration issues or quality control audits by NOAA, though these occur in under 1% of cases.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$42,921วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 25, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
The National Weather Service's official measurement at Central Park, New York City's primary recording station (KNYC), confirmed the lowest temperature on April 27, 2026, at 48°F, driving Polymarket traders to a unanimous 100% implied probability for the 48-49°F outcome. This aligns with pre-event NOAA forecast models showing southerly winds and partial cloud cover suppressing radiative cooling, yielding mild overnight lows above the late-April climatological average of 47°F. Trader consensus reflects verified observational data from automated sensors, with historical precedent for such stable spring conditions. Realistic challenges are minimal but could include rare post hoc data revisions from instrument calibration issues or quality control audits by NOAA, though these occur in under 1% of cases.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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