Forecast models for New York City on July 1, 2026, point to overnight lows in the mid-70s as the dominant driver of trader sentiment, reflecting a warm, humid air mass with limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. These conditions reduce radiative heat loss compared to clearer, calmer nights, keeping minimum temperatures elevated above the long-term July average near 70°F at Central Park. Differentiation among close outcomes around 74–77°F versus higher bins stems from subtle variations in cloud cover, dew point depression, and urban heat retention, which can add 2–4°F to the recorded low. Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs show modest uncertainty in the final minimum, consistent with the tightly clustered market probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in NYC on July 1?
Lowest temperature in NYC on July 1?
76-77°F 100.0%
63°F or below <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$60,195 ปริมาณ
$60,195 ปริมาณ
Jul 1, 2026
63°F or below
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
Yes
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82°F or higher
No
76-77°F 100.0%
63°F or below <1%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$60,195 ปริมาณ
$60,195 ปริมาณ
Jul 1, 2026
63°F or below
$968 ปริมาณ
No
64-65°F
$9,296 ปริมาณ
No
66-67°F
$5,445 ปริมาณ
No
68-69°F
$2,262 ปริมาณ
No
70-71°F
$2,178 ปริมาณ
No
72-73°F
$5,045 ปริมาณ
No
74-75°F
$7,436 ปริมาณ
No
76-77°F
$13,420 ปริมาณ
Yes
78-79°F
$6,052 ปริมาณ
No
80-81°F
$5,241 ปริมาณ
No
82°F or higher
$2,851 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for New York City on July 1, 2026, point to overnight lows in the mid-70s as the dominant driver of trader sentiment, reflecting a warm, humid air mass with limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. These conditions reduce radiative heat loss compared to clearer, calmer nights, keeping minimum temperatures elevated above the long-term July average near 70°F at Central Park. Differentiation among close outcomes around 74–77°F versus higher bins stems from subtle variations in cloud cover, dew point depression, and urban heat retention, which can add 2–4°F to the recorded low. Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs show modest uncertainty in the final minimum, consistent with the tightly clustered market probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 29, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$60,195วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 29, 2026, 9:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for New York City on July 1, 2026, point to overnight lows in the mid-70s as the dominant driver of trader sentiment, reflecting a warm, humid air mass with limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. These conditions reduce radiative heat loss compared to clearer, calmer nights, keeping minimum temperatures elevated above the long-term July average near 70°F at Central Park. Differentiation among close outcomes around 74–77°F versus higher bins stems from subtle variations in cloud cover, dew point depression, and urban heat retention, which can add 2–4°F to the recorded low. Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs show modest uncertainty in the final minimum, consistent with the tightly clustered market probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$60,195วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 29, 2026, 9:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Forecast models for New York City on July 1, 2026, point to overnight lows in the mid-70s as the dominant driver of trader sentiment, reflecting a warm, humid air mass with limited nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. These conditions reduce radiative heat loss compared to clearer, calmer nights, keeping minimum temperatures elevated above the long-term July average near 70°F at Central Park. Differentiation among close outcomes around 74–77°F versus higher bins stems from subtle variations in cloud cover, dew point depression, and urban heat retention, which can add 2–4°F to the recorded low. Official National Weather Service guidance and ensemble runs show modest uncertainty in the final minimum, consistent with the tightly clustered market probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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