Persistent southwest flow and a strong high-pressure ridge over the eastern U.S. are sustaining a heat wave, keeping overnight lows in the mid- to upper 70s°F for New York City on July 15. National Weather Service guidance shows Tuesday night and Wednesday night minima near 76–79°F under mostly clear skies and light winds, limiting radiational cooling. Recent model runs from NOAA exhibit tight consensus around these values, with only modest spread tied to boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects. Historical July climatology places average lows near 71°F, so current conditions represent a notable positive anomaly that traders have priced into the tightly bunched 78–83°F outcomes. Updated NWS and NDFD forecasts expected later today remain the key near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in NYC on July 15?
Lowest temperature in NYC on July 15?
80-81°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$41,505 ปริมาณ
$41,505 ปริมาณ
Jul 15, 2026
69°F or below
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
Yes
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88°F or higher
No
80-81°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$41,505 ปริมาณ
$41,505 ปริมาณ
Jul 15, 2026
69°F or below
$744 ปริมาณ
No
70-71°F
$1,102 ปริมาณ
No
72-73°F
$2,668 ปริมาณ
No
74-75°F
$4,351 ปริมาณ
No
76-77°F
$6,148 ปริมาณ
No
78-79°F
$5,668 ปริมาณ
No
80-81°F
$13,993 ปริมาณ
Yes
82-83°F
$3,802 ปริมาณ
No
84-85°F
$1,615 ปริมาณ
No
86-87°F
$858 ปริมาณ
No
88°F or higher
$555 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest flow and a strong high-pressure ridge over the eastern U.S. are sustaining a heat wave, keeping overnight lows in the mid- to upper 70s°F for New York City on July 15. National Weather Service guidance shows Tuesday night and Wednesday night minima near 76–79°F under mostly clear skies and light winds, limiting radiational cooling. Recent model runs from NOAA exhibit tight consensus around these values, with only modest spread tied to boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects. Historical July climatology places average lows near 71°F, so current conditions represent a notable positive anomaly that traders have priced into the tightly bunched 78–83°F outcomes. Updated NWS and NDFD forecasts expected later today remain the key near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 13, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$41,505วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 13, 2026, 9:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest flow and a strong high-pressure ridge over the eastern U.S. are sustaining a heat wave, keeping overnight lows in the mid- to upper 70s°F for New York City on July 15. National Weather Service guidance shows Tuesday night and Wednesday night minima near 76–79°F under mostly clear skies and light winds, limiting radiational cooling. Recent model runs from NOAA exhibit tight consensus around these values, with only modest spread tied to boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects. Historical July climatology places average lows near 71°F, so current conditions represent a notable positive anomaly that traders have priced into the tightly bunched 78–83°F outcomes. Updated NWS and NDFD forecasts expected later today remain the key near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$41,505วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 13, 2026, 9:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Persistent southwest flow and a strong high-pressure ridge over the eastern U.S. are sustaining a heat wave, keeping overnight lows in the mid- to upper 70s°F for New York City on July 15. National Weather Service guidance shows Tuesday night and Wednesday night minima near 76–79°F under mostly clear skies and light winds, limiting radiational cooling. Recent model runs from NOAA exhibit tight consensus around these values, with only modest spread tied to boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island effects. Historical July climatology places average lows near 71°F, so current conditions represent a notable positive anomaly that traders have priced into the tightly bunched 78–83°F outcomes. Updated NWS and NDFD forecasts expected later today remain the key near-term catalyst for any probability shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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