Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a mild overnight period for July 20 in New York City, with minimum temperatures most likely falling between the mid-60s and low-70s amid weak high pressure and light southerly flow. Trader positioning reflects this range, with closely bunched probabilities across 62–72 °F bins driven by modest uncertainty in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat retention. Ensemble spreads show limited potential for stronger radiational cooling under clear skies or for warmer readings if low-level moisture increases, keeping lower outcomes below 60 °F at low implied odds. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will likely refine these thresholds before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in NYC on July 20?
Lowest temperature in NYC on July 20?
66-67°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$33,872 ปริมาณ
$33,872 ปริมาณ
Jul 20, 2026
53°F or below
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
Yes
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72°F or higher
No
66-67°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$33,872 ปริมาณ
$33,872 ปริมาณ
Jul 20, 2026
53°F or below
$398 ปริมาณ
No
54-55°F
$488 ปริมาณ
No
56-57°F
$8,548 ปริมาณ
No
58-59°F
$9,422 ปริมาณ
No
60-61°F
$2,602 ปริมาณ
No
62-63°F
$1,332 ปริมาณ
No
64-65°F
$2,115 ปริมาณ
No
66-67°F
$4,106 ปริมาณ
Yes
68-69°F
$1,486 ปริมาณ
No
70-71°F
$1,516 ปริมาณ
No
72°F or higher
$1,858 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a mild overnight period for July 20 in New York City, with minimum temperatures most likely falling between the mid-60s and low-70s amid weak high pressure and light southerly flow. Trader positioning reflects this range, with closely bunched probabilities across 62–72 °F bins driven by modest uncertainty in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat retention. Ensemble spreads show limited potential for stronger radiational cooling under clear skies or for warmer readings if low-level moisture increases, keeping lower outcomes below 60 °F at low implied odds. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will likely refine these thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 18, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$33,872วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 18, 2026, 9:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a mild overnight period for July 20 in New York City, with minimum temperatures most likely falling between the mid-60s and low-70s amid weak high pressure and light southerly flow. Trader positioning reflects this range, with closely bunched probabilities across 62–72 °F bins driven by modest uncertainty in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat retention. Ensemble spreads show limited potential for stronger radiational cooling under clear skies or for warmer readings if low-level moisture increases, keeping lower outcomes below 60 °F at low implied odds. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will likely refine these thresholds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$33,872วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 18, 2026, 9:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a mild overnight period for July 20 in New York City, with minimum temperatures most likely falling between the mid-60s and low-70s amid weak high pressure and light southerly flow. Trader positioning reflects this range, with closely bunched probabilities across 62–72 °F bins driven by modest uncertainty in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat retention. Ensemble spreads show limited potential for stronger radiational cooling under clear skies or for warmer readings if low-level moisture increases, keeping lower outcomes below 60 °F at low implied odds. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion will likely refine these thresholds before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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