Recent model runs from the National Weather Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show substantial spread in overnight radiative cooling for New York City on July 23, with ensemble lows clustered between 62–70°F. A weak frontal boundary and variable low-level moisture are limiting clear-sky conditions that would otherwise drive temperatures toward seasonal normals near 69°F, while subtle differences in wind direction affect advection of cooler maritime air. This genuine forecast uncertainty keeps implied probabilities tightly bunched around the 64–67°F and 68–69°F bins, each near 36 percent. Traders are watching the next NWS update and 00Z model suite for any tightening of dewpoint or cloud-cover guidance that could shift the distribution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in NYC on July 23?
Lowest temperature in NYC on July 23?
66-67°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$21,447 ปริมาณ
$21,447 ปริมาณ
Jul 23, 2026
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
Yes
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
66-67°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$21,447 ปริมาณ
$21,447 ปริมาณ
Jul 23, 2026
55°F or below
$482 ปริมาณ
No
56-57°F
$651 ปริมาณ
No
58-59°F
$672 ปริมาณ
No
60-61°F
$850 ปริมาณ
No
62-63°F
$1,700 ปริมาณ
No
64-65°F
$2,087 ปริมาณ
No
66-67°F
$7,018 ปริมาณ
Yes
68-69°F
$2,053 ปริมาณ
No
70-71°F
$3,222 ปริมาณ
No
72-73°F
$1,389 ปริมาณ
No
74°F or higher
$1,324 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from the National Weather Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show substantial spread in overnight radiative cooling for New York City on July 23, with ensemble lows clustered between 62–70°F. A weak frontal boundary and variable low-level moisture are limiting clear-sky conditions that would otherwise drive temperatures toward seasonal normals near 69°F, while subtle differences in wind direction affect advection of cooler maritime air. This genuine forecast uncertainty keeps implied probabilities tightly bunched around the 64–67°F and 68–69°F bins, each near 36 percent. Traders are watching the next NWS update and 00Z model suite for any tightening of dewpoint or cloud-cover guidance that could shift the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 21, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$21,447วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 21, 2026, 9:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model runs from the National Weather Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show substantial spread in overnight radiative cooling for New York City on July 23, with ensemble lows clustered between 62–70°F. A weak frontal boundary and variable low-level moisture are limiting clear-sky conditions that would otherwise drive temperatures toward seasonal normals near 69°F, while subtle differences in wind direction affect advection of cooler maritime air. This genuine forecast uncertainty keeps implied probabilities tightly bunched around the 64–67°F and 68–69°F bins, each near 36 percent. Traders are watching the next NWS update and 00Z model suite for any tightening of dewpoint or cloud-cover guidance that could shift the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$21,447วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 21, 2026, 9:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent model runs from the National Weather Service and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show substantial spread in overnight radiative cooling for New York City on July 23, with ensemble lows clustered between 62–70°F. A weak frontal boundary and variable low-level moisture are limiting clear-sky conditions that would otherwise drive temperatures toward seasonal normals near 69°F, while subtle differences in wind direction affect advection of cooler maritime air. This genuine forecast uncertainty keeps implied probabilities tightly bunched around the 64–67°F and 68–69°F bins, each near 36 percent. Traders are watching the next NWS update and 00Z model suite for any tightening of dewpoint or cloud-cover guidance that could shift the distribution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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