**NWS guidance for New York City points to an overnight low near 68°F on June 28 under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds becoming calm, supporting the market’s leading 68-69°F band.** This reflects limited radiational cooling amid moderate humidity and the urban heat island effect, which typically prevents deeper drops than surrounding rural areas. Nearby outcomes (66-67°F through 72-73°F) capture model spread in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and subtle marine-layer influence from the Atlantic, which can raise minima by a degree or two. Late-June climatology favors lows in the mid-to-upper 60s, but recent forecast consistency around 68°F and the absence of strong cold advection have kept probabilities clustered rather than skewed toward extremes. Updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will refine these small but market-sensitive differences before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in NYC on June 28?
Lowest temperature in NYC on June 28?
68-69°F 100.0%
59°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$51,205 ปริมาณ
$51,205 ปริมาณ
Jun 28, 2026
59°F or below
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
Yes
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78°F or higher
No
68-69°F 100.0%
59°F or below <1%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
$51,205 ปริมาณ
$51,205 ปริมาณ
Jun 28, 2026
59°F or below
$512 ปริมาณ
No
60-61°F
$1,092 ปริมาณ
No
62-63°F
$1,985 ปริมาณ
No
64-65°F
$5,194 ปริมาณ
No
66-67°F
$8,430 ปริมาณ
No
68-69°F
$17,604 ปริมาณ
Yes
70-71°F
$10,867 ปริมาณ
No
72-73°F
$2,372 ปริมาณ
No
74-75°F
$1,129 ปริมาณ
No
76-77°F
$460 ปริมาณ
No
78°F or higher
$1,561 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**NWS guidance for New York City points to an overnight low near 68°F on June 28 under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds becoming calm, supporting the market’s leading 68-69°F band.**
This reflects limited radiational cooling amid moderate humidity and the urban heat island effect, which typically prevents deeper drops than surrounding rural areas. Nearby outcomes (66-67°F through 72-73°F) capture model spread in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and subtle marine-layer influence from the Atlantic, which can raise minima by a degree or two. Late-June climatology favors lows in the mid-to-upper 60s, but recent forecast consistency around 68°F and the absence of strong cold advection have kept probabilities clustered rather than skewed toward extremes. Updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will refine these small but market-sensitive differences before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$51,205วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**NWS guidance for New York City points to an overnight low near 68°F on June 28 under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds becoming calm, supporting the market’s leading 68-69°F band.**
This reflects limited radiational cooling amid moderate humidity and the urban heat island effect, which typically prevents deeper drops than surrounding rural areas. Nearby outcomes (66-67°F through 72-73°F) capture model spread in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and subtle marine-layer influence from the Atlantic, which can raise minima by a degree or two. Late-June climatology favors lows in the mid-to-upper 60s, but recent forecast consistency around 68°F and the absence of strong cold advection have kept probabilities clustered rather than skewed toward extremes. Updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will refine these small but market-sensitive differences before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$51,205วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 26, 2026, 9:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
**NWS guidance for New York City points to an overnight low near 68°F on June 28 under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds becoming calm, supporting the market’s leading 68-69°F band.** This reflects limited radiational cooling amid moderate humidity and the urban heat island effect, which typically prevents deeper drops than surrounding rural areas. Nearby outcomes (66-67°F through 72-73°F) capture model spread in cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and subtle marine-layer influence from the Atlantic, which can raise minima by a degree or two. Late-June climatology favors lows in the mid-to-upper 60s, but recent forecast consistency around 68°F and the absence of strong cold advection have kept probabilities clustered rather than skewed toward extremes. Updated model runs tonight and tomorrow morning will refine these small but market-sensitive differences before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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