Current short-range model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF points to a persistent heat dome maintaining elevated overnight temperatures across the Paris basin through July 11, limiting radiative cooling under light winds and high humidity. This setup supports implied probabilities clustering around 20–24 °C lows, with 21 °C edging the field at 30 %. Subtle differences among these outcomes hinge on forecast spread in boundary-layer moisture and any marginal Atlantic flow that could shave a degree or two versus continued subsidence suppressing mixing. Updated guidance expected from the next 00Z and 12Z runs will clarify whether the minimum settles near the lower or upper end of the favored range before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Paris on July 11?
Lowest temperature in Paris on July 11?
21°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$21,307 ปริมาณ
$21,307 ปริมาณ
Jul 11, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$21,307 ปริมาณ
$21,307 ปริมาณ
Jul 11, 2026
17°C or below
$651 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$641 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$1,244 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$1,806 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$6,042 ปริมาณ
Yes
22°C
$6,409 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$997 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$1,263 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$802 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$589 ปริมาณ
No
27°C or higher
$864 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF points to a persistent heat dome maintaining elevated overnight temperatures across the Paris basin through July 11, limiting radiative cooling under light winds and high humidity. This setup supports implied probabilities clustering around 20–24 °C lows, with 21 °C edging the field at 30 %. Subtle differences among these outcomes hinge on forecast spread in boundary-layer moisture and any marginal Atlantic flow that could shave a degree or two versus continued subsidence suppressing mixing. Updated guidance expected from the next 00Z and 12Z runs will clarify whether the minimum settles near the lower or upper end of the favored range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$21,307วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF points to a persistent heat dome maintaining elevated overnight temperatures across the Paris basin through July 11, limiting radiative cooling under light winds and high humidity. This setup supports implied probabilities clustering around 20–24 °C lows, with 21 °C edging the field at 30 %. Subtle differences among these outcomes hinge on forecast spread in boundary-layer moisture and any marginal Atlantic flow that could shave a degree or two versus continued subsidence suppressing mixing. Updated guidance expected from the next 00Z and 12Z runs will clarify whether the minimum settles near the lower or upper end of the favored range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$21,307วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Current short-range model consensus from Météo-France and ECMWF points to a persistent heat dome maintaining elevated overnight temperatures across the Paris basin through July 11, limiting radiative cooling under light winds and high humidity. This setup supports implied probabilities clustering around 20–24 °C lows, with 21 °C edging the field at 30 %. Subtle differences among these outcomes hinge on forecast spread in boundary-layer moisture and any marginal Atlantic flow that could shave a degree or two versus continued subsidence suppressing mixing. Updated guidance expected from the next 00Z and 12Z runs will clarify whether the minimum settles near the lower or upper end of the favored range before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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