Recent model guidance from Météo-France and ensembles indicates a brief respite from the ongoing European heatwave around July 18–19, allowing clearer skies and modest radiational cooling overnight in Paris. This setup favors minimum temperatures in the 12–15 °C range as a warm, humid air mass briefly yields to northerly flow, though urban heat-island effects and any lingering cloud cover could keep readings closer to 16 °C. Traders assign roughly 44 % implied probability to 12 °C or below and comparable weight to adjacent brackets because ensemble spreads remain wide 48 hours out; historical July minima average near 15–16 °C, so any further model convergence toward cooler solutions would likely shift volume toward the lowest outcomes before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Paris on July 19?
Lowest temperature in Paris on July 19?
13°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$14,261 ปริมาณ
$14,261 ปริมาณ
Jul 19, 2026
12°C or below
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$14,261 ปริมาณ
$14,261 ปริมาณ
Jul 19, 2026
12°C or below
$1,303 ปริมาณ
No
13°C
$2,851 ปริมาณ
Yes
14°C
$4,749 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$968 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$1,243 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$735 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$949 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$337 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$342 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$398 ปริมาณ
No
22°C or higher
$388 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance from Météo-France and ensembles indicates a brief respite from the ongoing European heatwave around July 18–19, allowing clearer skies and modest radiational cooling overnight in Paris. This setup favors minimum temperatures in the 12–15 °C range as a warm, humid air mass briefly yields to northerly flow, though urban heat-island effects and any lingering cloud cover could keep readings closer to 16 °C. Traders assign roughly 44 % implied probability to 12 °C or below and comparable weight to adjacent brackets because ensemble spreads remain wide 48 hours out; historical July minima average near 15–16 °C, so any further model convergence toward cooler solutions would likely shift volume toward the lowest outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,261วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model guidance from Météo-France and ensembles indicates a brief respite from the ongoing European heatwave around July 18–19, allowing clearer skies and modest radiational cooling overnight in Paris. This setup favors minimum temperatures in the 12–15 °C range as a warm, humid air mass briefly yields to northerly flow, though urban heat-island effects and any lingering cloud cover could keep readings closer to 16 °C. Traders assign roughly 44 % implied probability to 12 °C or below and comparable weight to adjacent brackets because ensemble spreads remain wide 48 hours out; historical July minima average near 15–16 °C, so any further model convergence toward cooler solutions would likely shift volume toward the lowest outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,261วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent model guidance from Météo-France and ensembles indicates a brief respite from the ongoing European heatwave around July 18–19, allowing clearer skies and modest radiational cooling overnight in Paris. This setup favors minimum temperatures in the 12–15 °C range as a warm, humid air mass briefly yields to northerly flow, though urban heat-island effects and any lingering cloud cover could keep readings closer to 16 °C. Traders assign roughly 44 % implied probability to 12 °C or below and comparable weight to adjacent brackets because ensemble spreads remain wide 48 hours out; historical July minima average near 15–16 °C, so any further model convergence toward cooler solutions would likely shift volume toward the lowest outcomes before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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