**Current forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models indicate an overnight minimum near 16–17°C for Paris on June 17 under clear skies and a strengthening heatwave pattern, with daytime highs climbing to 32–33°C.** This scientific consensus—rooted in observed warming trends, stable high-pressure steering, and minimal overnight radiative cooling—drives the market's overwhelming 99.6% implied probability on the 16°C outcome. Historical June climatology supports such mild lows during early-season heat episodes, while model agreement reduces forecast spread. A realistic challenge would require an unpredicted late surge in northerly flow, increased cloud cover, or station-specific measurement variance that shifts the official recorded minimum outside the narrow band.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Paris on June 17?
Lowest temperature in Paris on June 17?
16°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$15,911 ปริมาณ
$15,911 ปริมาณ
Jun 17, 2026
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$15,911 ปริมาณ
$15,911 ปริมาณ
Jun 17, 2026
13°C or below
$1,350 ปริมาณ
No
14°C
$1,402 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$1,708 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$2,331 ปริมาณ
Yes
17°C
$1,684 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$2,891 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$3,161 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$484 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$290 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$305 ปริมาณ
No
23°C or higher
$305 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models indicate an overnight minimum near 16–17°C for Paris on June 17 under clear skies and a strengthening heatwave pattern, with daytime highs climbing to 32–33°C.** This scientific consensus—rooted in observed warming trends, stable high-pressure steering, and minimal overnight radiative cooling—drives the market's overwhelming 99.6% implied probability on the 16°C outcome. Historical June climatology supports such mild lows during early-season heat episodes, while model agreement reduces forecast spread. A realistic challenge would require an unpredicted late surge in northerly flow, increased cloud cover, or station-specific measurement variance that shifts the official recorded minimum outside the narrow band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,911วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models indicate an overnight minimum near 16–17°C for Paris on June 17 under clear skies and a strengthening heatwave pattern, with daytime highs climbing to 32–33°C.** This scientific consensus—rooted in observed warming trends, stable high-pressure steering, and minimal overnight radiative cooling—drives the market's overwhelming 99.6% implied probability on the 16°C outcome. Historical June climatology supports such mild lows during early-season heat episodes, while model agreement reduces forecast spread. A realistic challenge would require an unpredicted late surge in northerly flow, increased cloud cover, or station-specific measurement variance that shifts the official recorded minimum outside the narrow band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,911วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
**Current forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models indicate an overnight minimum near 16–17°C for Paris on June 17 under clear skies and a strengthening heatwave pattern, with daytime highs climbing to 32–33°C.** This scientific consensus—rooted in observed warming trends, stable high-pressure steering, and minimal overnight radiative cooling—drives the market's overwhelming 99.6% implied probability on the 16°C outcome. Historical June climatology supports such mild lows during early-season heat episodes, while model agreement reduces forecast spread. A realistic challenge would require an unpredicted late surge in northerly flow, increased cloud cover, or station-specific measurement variance that shifts the official recorded minimum outside the narrow band.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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