A strong heatwave driven by a high-pressure dome and northward advection of subtropical air has elevated minimum temperatures across Paris ahead of June 19. Official guidance and ensemble models from Météo-France and European centers indicate overnight lows stabilizing near 22–23 °C under persistent clear skies and light winds that limit radiative cooling. This setup deviates from June climatological norms of 12–15 °C, pushing market-implied probabilities toward those warmer thresholds. Updated model runs show limited cooling potential before dawn, with only modest variability expected from localized urban heat-island effects. Traders are therefore concentrating positions around the 21–23 °C range as the most consistent forecast outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Paris on June 19?
Lowest temperature in Paris on June 19?
19°C or below 100.0%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$24,445 ปริมาณ
$24,445 ปริมาณ
Jun 19, 2026
19°C or below
Yes
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
19°C or below 100.0%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$24,445 ปริมาณ
$24,445 ปริมาณ
Jun 19, 2026
19°C or below
$3,514 ปริมาณ
Yes
20°C
$3,670 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$3,330 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$5,233 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$3,081 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$1,916 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$1,026 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$744 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$425 ปริมาณ
No
28°C
$1,206 ปริมาณ
No
29°C or higher
$301 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strong heatwave driven by a high-pressure dome and northward advection of subtropical air has elevated minimum temperatures across Paris ahead of June 19. Official guidance and ensemble models from Météo-France and European centers indicate overnight lows stabilizing near 22–23 °C under persistent clear skies and light winds that limit radiative cooling. This setup deviates from June climatological norms of 12–15 °C, pushing market-implied probabilities toward those warmer thresholds. Updated model runs show limited cooling potential before dawn, with only modest variability expected from localized urban heat-island effects. Traders are therefore concentrating positions around the 21–23 °C range as the most consistent forecast outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,445วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strong heatwave driven by a high-pressure dome and northward advection of subtropical air has elevated minimum temperatures across Paris ahead of June 19. Official guidance and ensemble models from Météo-France and European centers indicate overnight lows stabilizing near 22–23 °C under persistent clear skies and light winds that limit radiative cooling. This setup deviates from June climatological norms of 12–15 °C, pushing market-implied probabilities toward those warmer thresholds. Updated model runs show limited cooling potential before dawn, with only modest variability expected from localized urban heat-island effects. Traders are therefore concentrating positions around the 21–23 °C range as the most consistent forecast outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,445วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: Yes
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: Yes
A strong heatwave driven by a high-pressure dome and northward advection of subtropical air has elevated minimum temperatures across Paris ahead of June 19. Official guidance and ensemble models from Météo-France and European centers indicate overnight lows stabilizing near 22–23 °C under persistent clear skies and light winds that limit radiative cooling. This setup deviates from June climatological norms of 12–15 °C, pushing market-implied probabilities toward those warmer thresholds. Updated model runs show limited cooling potential before dawn, with only modest variability expected from localized urban heat-island effects. Traders are therefore concentrating positions around the 21–23 °C range as the most consistent forecast outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย