Trader consensus strongly supports 22°C as Shanghai’s lowest temperature on June 5, driven by consistent short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models showing stable nocturnal conditions under a subtropical high-pressure ridge. These projections align with typical early-June climatology for the region, where overnight lows rarely deviate sharply once diurnal heating patterns are established. The near-certain market pricing reflects minimal ensemble spread in the latest model runs and the proximity to resolution, limiting upside for alternative outcomes. Only an unexpected localized cooling event, such as unforecasted marine-layer advection or measurement adjustments at official stations, could realistically shift the result.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Shanghai on June 5?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on June 5?
22°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$32,658 ปริมาณ
$32,658 ปริมาณ
Jun 5, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$32,658 ปริมาณ
$32,658 ปริมาณ
Jun 5, 2026
18°C or below
$1,212 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$3,308 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$1,643 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$4,695 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$8,393 ปริมาณ
Yes
23°C
$2,301 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$4,742 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$426 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$1,406 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$4,367 ปริมาณ
No
28°C or higher
$165 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly supports 22°C as Shanghai’s lowest temperature on June 5, driven by consistent short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models showing stable nocturnal conditions under a subtropical high-pressure ridge. These projections align with typical early-June climatology for the region, where overnight lows rarely deviate sharply once diurnal heating patterns are established. The near-certain market pricing reflects minimal ensemble spread in the latest model runs and the proximity to resolution, limiting upside for alternative outcomes. Only an unexpected localized cooling event, such as unforecasted marine-layer advection or measurement adjustments at official stations, could realistically shift the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 3, 2026, 12:42 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,658วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 3, 2026, 12:42 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus strongly supports 22°C as Shanghai’s lowest temperature on June 5, driven by consistent short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models showing stable nocturnal conditions under a subtropical high-pressure ridge. These projections align with typical early-June climatology for the region, where overnight lows rarely deviate sharply once diurnal heating patterns are established. The near-certain market pricing reflects minimal ensemble spread in the latest model runs and the proximity to resolution, limiting upside for alternative outcomes. Only an unexpected localized cooling event, such as unforecasted marine-layer advection or measurement adjustments at official stations, could realistically shift the result.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,658วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 3, 2026, 12:42 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Trader consensus strongly supports 22°C as Shanghai’s lowest temperature on June 5, driven by consistent short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models showing stable nocturnal conditions under a subtropical high-pressure ridge. These projections align with typical early-June climatology for the region, where overnight lows rarely deviate sharply once diurnal heating patterns are established. The near-certain market pricing reflects minimal ensemble spread in the latest model runs and the proximity to resolution, limiting upside for alternative outcomes. Only an unexpected localized cooling event, such as unforecasted marine-layer advection or measurement adjustments at official stations, could realistically shift the result.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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