Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological models project Shanghai’s overnight minimum temperature on May 26 near 24°C, supported by persistent subtropical high pressure, moderate humidity near 70%, light variable winds, and variable cloud cover that together limit nocturnal radiative cooling under typical late-spring subtropical conditions. This aligns with updated model consensus showing daytime highs near 29°C transitioning smoothly overnight, consistent with historical May baselines adjusted for current atmospheric stability. Traders assign near-certain implied probability to the 24°C outcome because small deviations in cloud cover, wind patterns, or surface moisture would need to align precisely to shift the reading even one degree lower. Unlikely scenarios that could challenge this include an unexpected clear-sky radiative cooling spike or a sharper influx of drier air, though current guidance shows limited scope for such shifts before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Shanghai on May 26?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on May 26?
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$12,631 ปริมาณ
$12,631 ปริมาณ
May 26, 2026
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$12,631 ปริมาณ
$12,631 ปริมาณ
May 26, 2026
17°C or below
$963 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$577 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$1,081 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$333 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$534 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$2,379 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$2,370 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$2,487 ปริมาณ
Yes
25°C
$474 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$769 ปริมาณ
No
27°C or higher
$664 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological models project Shanghai’s overnight minimum temperature on May 26 near 24°C, supported by persistent subtropical high pressure, moderate humidity near 70%, light variable winds, and variable cloud cover that together limit nocturnal radiative cooling under typical late-spring subtropical conditions. This aligns with updated model consensus showing daytime highs near 29°C transitioning smoothly overnight, consistent with historical May baselines adjusted for current atmospheric stability. Traders assign near-certain implied probability to the 24°C outcome because small deviations in cloud cover, wind patterns, or surface moisture would need to align precisely to shift the reading even one degree lower. Unlikely scenarios that could challenge this include an unexpected clear-sky radiative cooling spike or a sharper influx of drier air, though current guidance shows limited scope for such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 22, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,631วันสิ้นสุด
May 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 22, 2026, 12:38 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological models project Shanghai’s overnight minimum temperature on May 26 near 24°C, supported by persistent subtropical high pressure, moderate humidity near 70%, light variable winds, and variable cloud cover that together limit nocturnal radiative cooling under typical late-spring subtropical conditions. This aligns with updated model consensus showing daytime highs near 29°C transitioning smoothly overnight, consistent with historical May baselines adjusted for current atmospheric stability. Traders assign near-certain implied probability to the 24°C outcome because small deviations in cloud cover, wind patterns, or surface moisture would need to align precisely to shift the reading even one degree lower. Unlikely scenarios that could challenge this include an unexpected clear-sky radiative cooling spike or a sharper influx of drier air, though current guidance shows limited scope for such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,631วันสิ้นสุด
May 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 22, 2026, 12:38 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent ensemble forecasts from major meteorological models project Shanghai’s overnight minimum temperature on May 26 near 24°C, supported by persistent subtropical high pressure, moderate humidity near 70%, light variable winds, and variable cloud cover that together limit nocturnal radiative cooling under typical late-spring subtropical conditions. This aligns with updated model consensus showing daytime highs near 29°C transitioning smoothly overnight, consistent with historical May baselines adjusted for current atmospheric stability. Traders assign near-certain implied probability to the 24°C outcome because small deviations in cloud cover, wind patterns, or surface moisture would need to align precisely to shift the reading even one degree lower. Unlikely scenarios that could challenge this include an unexpected clear-sky radiative cooling spike or a sharper influx of drier air, though current guidance shows limited scope for such shifts before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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