Current Japan Meteorological Agency guidance points to mostly cloudy skies over Tokyo on July 8, supporting overnight lows near 21°C by limiting nocturnal radiative cooling under high humidity and light winds typical of early July. This consensus across global and regional models drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 20–23°C, where even modest shifts in cloud breaks or steering patterns could tip readings a degree lower or sustain them higher. Above-normal seasonal temperatures add slight upward pressure, yet short-term variability in marine layer influence and urban heat retention keeps probabilities balanced across the leading outcomes. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for any re-pricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Tokyo on July 8?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on July 8?
22°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$32,641 ปริมาณ
$32,641 ปริมาณ
Jul 8, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$32,641 ปริมาณ
$32,641 ปริมาณ
Jul 8, 2026
16°C or below
$3,226 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$2,664 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$1,320 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$1,845 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$2,273 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$2,640 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$5,126 ปริมาณ
Yes
23°C
$4,667 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$2,302 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$2,753 ปริมาณ
No
26°C or higher
$3,824 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Japan Meteorological Agency guidance points to mostly cloudy skies over Tokyo on July 8, supporting overnight lows near 21°C by limiting nocturnal radiative cooling under high humidity and light winds typical of early July. This consensus across global and regional models drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 20–23°C, where even modest shifts in cloud breaks or steering patterns could tip readings a degree lower or sustain them higher. Above-normal seasonal temperatures add slight upward pressure, yet short-term variability in marine layer influence and urban heat retention keeps probabilities balanced across the leading outcomes. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for any re-pricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,641วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Japan Meteorological Agency guidance points to mostly cloudy skies over Tokyo on July 8, supporting overnight lows near 21°C by limiting nocturnal radiative cooling under high humidity and light winds typical of early July. This consensus across global and regional models drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 20–23°C, where even modest shifts in cloud breaks or steering patterns could tip readings a degree lower or sustain them higher. Above-normal seasonal temperatures add slight upward pressure, yet short-term variability in marine layer influence and urban heat retention keeps probabilities balanced across the leading outcomes. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for any re-pricing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,641วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Current Japan Meteorological Agency guidance points to mostly cloudy skies over Tokyo on July 8, supporting overnight lows near 21°C by limiting nocturnal radiative cooling under high humidity and light winds typical of early July. This consensus across global and regional models drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 20–23°C, where even modest shifts in cloud breaks or steering patterns could tip readings a degree lower or sustain them higher. Above-normal seasonal temperatures add slight upward pressure, yet short-term variability in marine layer influence and urban heat retention keeps probabilities balanced across the leading outcomes. Updated model runs and JMA briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts for any re-pricing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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