Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models indicate overnight lows in Tokyo near 19–20°C for June 25, driven by the ongoing tsuyu rainy season that moderates temperatures through persistent cloud cover and moisture. Historical normals place the daily minimum around 20°C, with recent model runs showing limited variability due to stable atmospheric patterns and no strong cold-air intrusions expected. Trader consensus, reflected in the 53.5% implied probability for 20°C and 43.5% for 21°C, aligns with this evidence-based outlook while assigning lower odds to outliers, as new observational data or updated guidance could still adjust the final recorded low within the narrow 18–22°C range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Tokyo on June 25?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on June 25?
20°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$21,556 ปริมาณ
$21,556 ปริมาณ
Jun 25, 2026
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$21,556 ปริมาณ
$21,556 ปริมาณ
Jun 25, 2026
16°C or below
$284 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$432 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$1,001 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$3,165 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$4,039 ปริมาณ
Yes
21°C
$10,596 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$711 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$465 ปริมาณ
No
24°C
$349 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$260 ปริมาณ
No
26°C or higher
$254 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models indicate overnight lows in Tokyo near 19–20°C for June 25, driven by the ongoing tsuyu rainy season that moderates temperatures through persistent cloud cover and moisture. Historical normals place the daily minimum around 20°C, with recent model runs showing limited variability due to stable atmospheric patterns and no strong cold-air intrusions expected. Trader consensus, reflected in the 53.5% implied probability for 20°C and 43.5% for 21°C, aligns with this evidence-based outlook while assigning lower odds to outliers, as new observational data or updated guidance could still adjust the final recorded low within the narrow 18–22°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$21,556วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models indicate overnight lows in Tokyo near 19–20°C for June 25, driven by the ongoing tsuyu rainy season that moderates temperatures through persistent cloud cover and moisture. Historical normals place the daily minimum around 20°C, with recent model runs showing limited variability due to stable atmospheric patterns and no strong cold-air intrusions expected. Trader consensus, reflected in the 53.5% implied probability for 20°C and 43.5% for 21°C, aligns with this evidence-based outlook while assigning lower odds to outliers, as new observational data or updated guidance could still adjust the final recorded low within the narrow 18–22°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$21,556วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and other models indicate overnight lows in Tokyo near 19–20°C for June 25, driven by the ongoing tsuyu rainy season that moderates temperatures through persistent cloud cover and moisture. Historical normals place the daily minimum around 20°C, with recent model runs showing limited variability due to stable atmospheric patterns and no strong cold-air intrusions expected. Trader consensus, reflected in the 53.5% implied probability for 20°C and 43.5% for 21°C, aligns with this evidence-based outlook while assigning lower odds to outliers, as new observational data or updated guidance could still adjust the final recorded low within the narrow 18–22°C range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย