Recent meteorological forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models project a Tokyo minimum temperature of 18°C on May 25, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and seasonal warming that align with late-spring climatology. Numerical weather prediction ensembles show minimal spread around this value, with surface observations and upper-air data reinforcing the outlook over cooler alternatives. This near-certain market consensus reflects strong model agreement and the absence of disruptive frontal systems. A rapid, unforecasted cold-air intrusion or station-specific microclimate variation could theoretically shift the recorded low, though such deviations remain improbable given current atmospheric stability and verification timelines.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Tokyo on May 25?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on May 25?
18°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$38,680 ปริมาณ
$38,680 ปริมาณ
May 25, 2026
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$38,680 ปริมาณ
$38,680 ปริมาณ
May 25, 2026
14°C or below
$1,717 ปริมาณ
No
15°C
$2,503 ปริมาณ
No
16°C
$2,599 ปริมาณ
No
17°C
$3,623 ปริมาณ
No
18°C
$4,469 ปริมาณ
Yes
19°C
$11,152 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$847 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$1,568 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$1,501 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$1,773 ปริมาณ
No
24°C or higher
$6,928 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models project a Tokyo minimum temperature of 18°C on May 25, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and seasonal warming that align with late-spring climatology. Numerical weather prediction ensembles show minimal spread around this value, with surface observations and upper-air data reinforcing the outlook over cooler alternatives. This near-certain market consensus reflects strong model agreement and the absence of disruptive frontal systems. A rapid, unforecasted cold-air intrusion or station-specific microclimate variation could theoretically shift the recorded low, though such deviations remain improbable given current atmospheric stability and verification timelines.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$38,680วันสิ้นสุด
May 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models project a Tokyo minimum temperature of 18°C on May 25, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and seasonal warming that align with late-spring climatology. Numerical weather prediction ensembles show minimal spread around this value, with surface observations and upper-air data reinforcing the outlook over cooler alternatives. This near-certain market consensus reflects strong model agreement and the absence of disruptive frontal systems. A rapid, unforecasted cold-air intrusion or station-specific microclimate variation could theoretically shift the recorded low, though such deviations remain improbable given current atmospheric stability and verification timelines.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$38,680วันสิ้นสุด
May 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Recent meteorological forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models project a Tokyo minimum temperature of 18°C on May 25, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and seasonal warming that align with late-spring climatology. Numerical weather prediction ensembles show minimal spread around this value, with surface observations and upper-air data reinforcing the outlook over cooler alternatives. This near-certain market consensus reflects strong model agreement and the absence of disruptive frontal systems. A rapid, unforecasted cold-air intrusion or station-specific microclimate variation could theoretically shift the recorded low, though such deviations remain improbable given current atmospheric stability and verification timelines.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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