Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Michael Jackson biopic grossing 35-38 million in its third domestic weekend at 45.8% implied probability, reflecting robust word-of-mouth momentum that powered a better-than-expected 54.4 million second-weekend hold—a modest 44% drop from its record-shattering 97.2 million opening despite scathing reviews. Strong weekday performance, including 4.58 million on Monday from 3,955 theaters, and surging streaming numbers for Jackson's catalog underscore audience enthusiasm overriding critics, with domestic cume nearing 200 million entering the frame. Lighter competition and historical biopic legs position this range ahead, though new releases could cap upside; weekend estimates lock Sunday as the film eyes 500 million global.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว"Michael" 3rd Weekend Box Office
"Michael" 3rd Weekend Box Office
35-38m 45.6%
32-35m 21%
>38m 16.2%
<32m 16%
$42,378 ปริมาณ
$42,378 ปริมาณ
May 11, 2026
<32m
16%
32-35m
21%
35-38m
46%
>38m
16%
35-38m 45.6%
32-35m 21%
>38m 16.2%
<32m 16%
$42,378 ปริมาณ
$42,378 ปริมาณ
May 11, 2026
<32m
$21,839 ปริมาณ
16%
32-35m
$8,181 ปริมาณ
21%
35-38m
$3,465 ปริมาณ
46%
>38m
$8,892 ปริมาณ
16%
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 8 - May 10) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Michael Jackson biopic grossing 35-38 million in its third domestic weekend at 45.8% implied probability, reflecting robust word-of-mouth momentum that powered a better-than-expected 54.4 million second-weekend hold—a modest 44% drop from its record-shattering 97.2 million opening despite scathing reviews. Strong weekday performance, including 4.58 million on Monday from 3,955 theaters, and surging streaming numbers for Jackson's catalog underscore audience enthusiasm overriding critics, with domestic cume nearing 200 million entering the frame. Lighter competition and historical biopic legs position this range ahead, though new releases could cap upside; weekend estimates lock Sunday as the film eyes 500 million global.
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 8 - May 10) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 5, 2026, 3:37 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$42,378วันสิ้นสุด
May 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 5, 2026, 3:37 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 8 - May 10) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Michael Jackson biopic grossing 35-38 million in its third domestic weekend at 45.8% implied probability, reflecting robust word-of-mouth momentum that powered a better-than-expected 54.4 million second-weekend hold—a modest 44% drop from its record-shattering 97.2 million opening despite scathing reviews. Strong weekday performance, including 4.58 million on Monday from 3,955 theaters, and surging streaming numbers for Jackson's catalog underscore audience enthusiasm overriding critics, with domestic cume nearing 200 million entering the frame. Lighter competition and historical biopic legs position this range ahead, though new releases could cap upside; weekend estimates lock Sunday as the film eyes 500 million global.
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (May 8 - May 10) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$42,378วันสิ้นสุด
May 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 5, 2026, 3:37 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Michael Jackson biopic grossing 35-38 million in its third domestic weekend at 45.8% implied probability, reflecting robust word-of-mouth momentum that powered a better-than-expected 54.4 million second-weekend hold—a modest 44% drop from its record-shattering 97.2 million opening despite scathing reviews. Strong weekday performance, including 4.58 million on Monday from 3,955 theaters, and surging streaming numbers for Jackson's catalog underscore audience enthusiasm overriding critics, with domestic cume nearing 200 million entering the frame. Lighter competition and historical biopic legs position this range ahead, though new releases could cap upside; weekend estimates lock Sunday as the film eyes 500 million global.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย