Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar leads trader consensus at 79.5% implied probability in the MN-05 Democratic primary due to her proven primary track record—winning 56% in 2024 against Don Samuels, up from a narrower 50% in 2022—and dominant fundraising with over $5 million raised and $1.57 million cash on hand as of late March 2026. Challenger Latonya Reeves, a local AFSCME leader, DNC member, and probation officer appointed to the Minnesota Sentencing Guidelines Commission by Gov. Tim Walz, holds 21% amid her grassroots pitch for community-focused leadership, but trails sharply with just $31,000 raised. No public polls exist; Minnesota's open primary on August 11 follows a June 2 filing deadline in this D+32 district, where Omar's incumbency and resources position her as the clear favorite despite past competitive races.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMN-05 Democratic Primary Winner
MN-05 Democratic Primary Winner
$22,053 ปริมาณ
$22,053 ปริมาณ
Aug 11, 2026
Ilhan Omar
80%
Latonya Reeves
20%
$22,053 ปริมาณ
$22,053 ปริมาณ
Aug 11, 2026
Ilhan Omar
$18,481 ปริมาณ
80%
Latonya Reeves
$3,604 ปริมาณ
20%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar leads trader consensus at 79.5% implied probability in the MN-05 Democratic primary due to her proven primary track record—winning 56% in 2024 against Don Samuels, up from a narrower 50% in 2022—and dominant fundraising with over $5 million raised and $1.57 million cash on hand as of late March 2026. Challenger Latonya Reeves, a local AFSCME leader, DNC member, and probation officer appointed to the Minnesota Sentencing Guidelines Commission by Gov. Tim Walz, holds 21% amid her grassroots pitch for community-focused leadership, but trails sharply with just $31,000 raised. No public polls exist; Minnesota's open primary on August 11 follows a June 2 filing deadline in this D+32 district, where Omar's incumbency and resources position her as the clear favorite despite past competitive races.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$22,053วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar leads trader consensus at 79.5% implied probability in the MN-05 Democratic primary due to her proven primary track record—winning 56% in 2024 against Don Samuels, up from a narrower 50% in 2022—and dominant fundraising with over $5 million raised and $1.57 million cash on hand as of late March 2026. Challenger Latonya Reeves, a local AFSCME leader, DNC member, and probation officer appointed to the Minnesota Sentencing Guidelines Commission by Gov. Tim Walz, holds 21% amid her grassroots pitch for community-focused leadership, but trails sharply with just $31,000 raised. No public polls exist; Minnesota's open primary on August 11 follows a June 2 filing deadline in this D+32 district, where Omar's incumbency and resources position her as the clear favorite despite past competitive races.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$22,053วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar leads trader consensus at 79.5% implied probability in the MN-05 Democratic primary due to her proven primary track record—winning 56% in 2024 against Don Samuels, up from a narrower 50% in 2022—and dominant fundraising with over $5 million raised and $1.57 million cash on hand as of late March 2026. Challenger Latonya Reeves, a local AFSCME leader, DNC member, and probation officer appointed to the Minnesota Sentencing Guidelines Commission by Gov. Tim Walz, holds 21% amid her grassroots pitch for community-focused leadership, but trails sharply with just $31,000 raised. No public polls exist; Minnesota's open primary on August 11 follows a June 2 filing deadline in this D+32 district, where Omar's incumbency and resources position her as the clear favorite despite past competitive races.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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