Chou Chun-mi holds an 87% implied probability as the leading outcome in the 2026 Pingtung County Magistrate election due to her incumbency since 2022, when she secured the Democratic Progressive Party nomination and won a narrow victory over Kuomintang challenger Su Ching-chuan. Her established local profile, family political roots in the county, and the DPP's organizational strength in southern Taiwan continue to anchor trader consensus. Su Ching-chuan trails at 13%, reflecting the KMT's late-2025 nominee announcements for the region but limited recent polling momentum or primary developments that would narrow the gap. Multiple other listed candidates remain at lower implied probabilities amid the absence of major scandals, endorsements, or vote-count shifts in the months leading to the November 28 contest.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 30, 2027
Chou Chun-mi
87%
Su Ching-chuan
13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 30, 2027
Chou Chun-mi
$1,507 ปริมาณ
87%
Su Ching-chuan
$1,598 ปริมาณ
13%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Pingtung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chou Chun-mi holds an 87% implied probability as the leading outcome in the 2026 Pingtung County Magistrate election due to her incumbency since 2022, when she secured the Democratic Progressive Party nomination and won a narrow victory over Kuomintang challenger Su Ching-chuan. Her established local profile, family political roots in the county, and the DPP's organizational strength in southern Taiwan continue to anchor trader consensus. Su Ching-chuan trails at 13%, reflecting the KMT's late-2025 nominee announcements for the region but limited recent polling momentum or primary developments that would narrow the gap. Multiple other listed candidates remain at lower implied probabilities amid the absence of major scandals, endorsements, or vote-count shifts in the months leading to the November 28 contest.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Pingtung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Pingtung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 14, 2026, 9:01 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,105วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 9:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Pingtung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chou Chun-mi holds an 87% implied probability as the leading outcome in the 2026 Pingtung County Magistrate election due to her incumbency since 2022, when she secured the Democratic Progressive Party nomination and won a narrow victory over Kuomintang challenger Su Ching-chuan. Her established local profile, family political roots in the county, and the DPP's organizational strength in southern Taiwan continue to anchor trader consensus. Su Ching-chuan trails at 13%, reflecting the KMT's late-2025 nominee announcements for the region but limited recent polling momentum or primary developments that would narrow the gap. Multiple other listed candidates remain at lower implied probabilities amid the absence of major scandals, endorsements, or vote-count shifts in the months leading to the November 28 contest.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Pingtung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Pingtung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,105วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 9:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Chou Chun-mi holds an 87% implied probability as the leading outcome in the 2026 Pingtung County Magistrate election due to her incumbency since 2022, when she secured the Democratic Progressive Party nomination and won a narrow victory over Kuomintang challenger Su Ching-chuan. Her established local profile, family political roots in the county, and the DPP's organizational strength in southern Taiwan continue to anchor trader consensus. Su Ching-chuan trails at 13%, reflecting the KMT's late-2025 nominee announcements for the region but limited recent polling momentum or primary developments that would narrow the gap. Multiple other listed candidates remain at lower implied probabilities amid the absence of major scandals, endorsements, or vote-count shifts in the months leading to the November 28 contest.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย