The 2026 Roraima special gubernatorial election on June 21 produced a decisive first-round result, with Arthur Henrique (PL) securing roughly 61% of valid votes against Soldado Sampaio (Republicanos) at 36%, alongside lower shares for candidates including Farah Mesquita, Rosi Aires, and others. Persistent legal challenges to Henrique’s eligibility—his candidacy remains sub judice pending court rulings—have prevented certification and kept trader probabilities clustered near even odds. This judicial overhang, rather than polling gaps or coalition shifts, sustains the tight market by leaving open scenarios such as a runoff, annulment, or alternative winner. Upcoming tribunal decisions on eligibility and mandate length through 2027 represent the primary catalysts that could separate outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วArthur Henrique 45%
Clébio Genuíno 45%
Rosi Aires 45%
Soldado Sampaio 45%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 4, 2026
Arthur Henrique
45%
Clébio Genuíno
45%
Rosi Aires
45%
Soldado Sampaio
45%
Farah Mesquita
44%
Arthur Henrique 45%
Clébio Genuíno 45%
Rosi Aires 45%
Soldado Sampaio 45%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 4, 2026
Arthur Henrique
$0 ปริมาณ
45%
Clébio Genuíno
$0 ปริมาณ
45%
Rosi Aires
$0 ปริมาณ
45%
Soldado Sampaio
$0 ปริมาณ
45%
Farah Mesquita
$0 ปริมาณ
44%
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Roraima special gubernatorial election on June 21 produced a decisive first-round result, with Arthur Henrique (PL) securing roughly 61% of valid votes against Soldado Sampaio (Republicanos) at 36%, alongside lower shares for candidates including Farah Mesquita, Rosi Aires, and others. Persistent legal challenges to Henrique’s eligibility—his candidacy remains sub judice pending court rulings—have prevented certification and kept trader probabilities clustered near even odds. This judicial overhang, rather than polling gaps or coalition shifts, sustains the tight market by leaving open scenarios such as a runoff, annulment, or alternative winner. Upcoming tribunal decisions on eligibility and mandate length through 2027 represent the primary catalysts that could separate outcomes.
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Roraima special gubernatorial election on June 21 produced a decisive first-round result, with Arthur Henrique (PL) securing roughly 61% of valid votes against Soldado Sampaio (Republicanos) at 36%, alongside lower shares for candidates including Farah Mesquita, Rosi Aires, and others. Persistent legal challenges to Henrique’s eligibility—his candidacy remains sub judice pending court rulings—have prevented certification and kept trader probabilities clustered near even odds. This judicial overhang, rather than polling gaps or coalition shifts, sustains the tight market by leaving open scenarios such as a runoff, annulment, or alternative winner. Upcoming tribunal decisions on eligibility and mandate length through 2027 represent the primary catalysts that could separate outcomes.
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Roraima special gubernatorial election on June 21 produced a decisive first-round result, with Arthur Henrique (PL) securing roughly 61% of valid votes against Soldado Sampaio (Republicanos) at 36%, alongside lower shares for candidates including Farah Mesquita, Rosi Aires, and others. Persistent legal challenges to Henrique’s eligibility—his candidacy remains sub judice pending court rulings—have prevented certification and kept trader probabilities clustered near even odds. This judicial overhang, rather than polling gaps or coalition shifts, sustains the tight market by leaving open scenarios such as a runoff, annulment, or alternative winner. Upcoming tribunal decisions on eligibility and mandate length through 2027 represent the primary catalysts that could separate outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย